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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,392.98 (+14.6%) | 19 | 0.2% | 30m | 2.4d ago · 70× | 0% ±2 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 6% ±12 | 17% ±30 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 260 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 3,314.76 (+11.9%) | 16 | 2.1% | 23h | 2.3d ago · 79× | 3% ±7 | 30% ±14 | 12% ±10 | 58% ±15 | 40 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 3% ±11 | 22% ±47 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.70% | 142 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,193.37 (+7.8%) | 10 | 2.0% | 9h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 4% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 16% ±13 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 516 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,126.21 (+5.6%) | 7.3 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 10% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 24% ±16 | 43% ±29 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.89% | 474 → 11 | |
| HVN zone | 3,090.87–3,150.21 (+4.4%) | 5.7 | 3.4% | 1.6d | 8.8d ago · 82× | 14% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 53 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 31% ±21 | 53% ±35 | 6.5d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 343 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,053.11–3,069.29 (+3.1%) | 4.1 | 1.2% | 4h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 36% ±20 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 7% ±4 | 35% ±19 | 54% ±35 | 82% ±44 | 2.6d | 4.05% | 1.24% | 142 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 3,015.34 (+1.8%) | 2.4 | 1.8% | 11h | 22.0d ago · 46× | 58% ±28 | 39% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 54% ±20 | 25 | 12% ±7 | 57% ±27 | 81% ±39 | 85% ±50 | 21h | 3.10% | 2.63% | 76 → 2 | |
| 30D POC | 2,974.88 (+0.4%) | 0.6 | 4.3% | 1.7d | 2.3d ago · 67× | 86% ±17 | 35% ±16 | 14% ±11 | 51% ±17 | 34 | 77% ±8 | 85% ±17 | 94% ±21 | 94% ±34 | 1h | 1.75% | 1.37% | 98 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,961.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 2,957.47 (-0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 86% ±13 | 54% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 68 | 73% ±7 | 87% ±13 | 91% ±19 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 2.34% | 1.24% | 161 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,902.05 (-2.0%) | 2.7 | 0.9% | 3h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 38% ±19 | 54% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 38% ±21 | 21 | 10% ±5 | 38% ±18 | 48% ±33 | 54% ±49 | 4.9d | 3.45% | 1.27% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,884.44 (-2.6%) | 3.4 | 0.2% | 24m | 2.0d ago · 85× | 35% ±12 | 60% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 9% ±3 | 35% ±12 | 56% ±22 | 70% ±30 | 2.1d | 2.52% | 1.42% | 360 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,961.75 | 3,126.21 | 2,884.44 | expired | -1.14% |