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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-27 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 3,261.26 (+8.0%) | 8.6 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.5d ago · 70× | 8% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 23% ±15 | 41% ±26 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 569 → 14 | |
| 30D VAH | 3,199.3 (+5.9%) | 6.4 | 2.4% | 13h | 20.6d ago · 44× | 8% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 21% ±18 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 365 → 9 | |
| HVN zone | 3,087.76–3,155.92 (+2.3%) | 2.4 | 3.6% | 1.7d | 8.9d ago · 82× | 44% ±15 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 13% ±4 | 44% ±15 | 59% ±26 | 65% ±38 | 1.3d | 1.95% | 1.87% | 252 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 3,050.59–3,056.78 (+1.0%) | 1.1 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.1d ago · 50× | 65% ±23 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 34% ±9 | 65% ±23 | 79% ±33 | 90% ±41 | 12h | 4.05% | 1.24% | 101 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,019.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,914.27–3,001.02 (-0.6%) | 0.7 | 3.1% | 17h | 3.9d ago · 84× | 86% ±12 | 45% ±12 | 21% ±10 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 66% ±7 | 86% ±12 | 91% ±18 | 96% ±20 | 2h | 2.08% | 1.64% | 181 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,989.49 (-1.0%) | 1.1 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 65× | 83% ±21 | 42% ±17 | 8% ±9 | 50% ±17 | 33 | 62% ±11 | 83% ±21 | 86% ±34 | 90% ±42 | 2h | 1.94% | 1.94% | 78 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,933.87–2,935.96 (-2.8%) | 3.0 | 5.0% | 1.7d | 2.2d ago · 106× | 44% ±16 | 51% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 39% ±11 | 70 | 13% ±4 | 45% ±16 | 61% ±26 | 79% ±33 | 1.4d | 2.28% | 1.30% | 234 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,883.29–2,889.67 (-4.3%) | 4.7 | 1.5% | 6h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 22% ±9 | 57% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±12 | 56 | 4% ±2 | 22% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 60% ±29 | 3.3d | 2.75% | 1.41% | 453 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,784.15 (-7.8%) | 8.4 | 0.1% | 29m | 2.1d ago · 59× | 10% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 29% ±17 | 56% ±28 | 5.9d | 2.40% | 2.45% | 503 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 3,019.79 | 3,119.61 | 2,933.87 | expired | -0.30% |