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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-28 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 14D VAH | 3,199.3–3,211.69 (+7.0%) | 7.9 | 2.3% | 12h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±17 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 40% ±26 | > 7d | 2.02% | 1.67% | 567 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 3,087.76–3,155.92 (+3.3%) | 3.7 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 9.0d ago · 82× | 28% ±12 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 54 | 5% ±2 | 28% ±12 | 44% ±23 | 55% ±35 | 5.3d | 1.95% | 1.87% | 321 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,038.19–3,056.78 (+1.6%) | 1.8 | 1.1% | 4h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 53% ±24 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 18% ±7 | 53% ±24 | 72% ±36 | 92% ±38 | 23h | 4.05% | 1.24% | 103 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,995.19 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 23h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 83% ±17 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 72% ±8 | 83% ±17 | 91% ±23 | 93% ±29 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.89% | 113 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,989.42 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,933.87–2,935.96 (-1.8%) | 2.0 | 4.7% | 1.6d | 2.3d ago · 106× | 53% ±18 | 50% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 40% ±11 | 71 | 26% ±7 | 53% ±18 | 70% ±28 | 85% ±35 | 20h | 2.35% | 1.30% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,883.29–2,883.97 (-3.5%) | 4.0 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 31% ±11 | 57% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±12 | 56 | 7% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 50% ±20 | 64% ±30 | 2.3d | 2.75% | 1.41% | 415 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,784.15 (-6.9%) | 7.7 | 0.1% | 27m | 2.2d ago · 59× | 10% ±7 | 44% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 31% ±17 | 59% ±28 | 5.4d | 2.40% | 2.45% | 493 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,989.42 | 2,933.87 | 3,015.21 | stop | +1.27% |