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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-28 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,366.59 (+12.3%) | 14 | 1.1% | 5h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±11 | 33% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 568 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,179.67 (+6.0%) | 6.8 | 2.1% | 11h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 10% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±7 | 28% ±17 | 46% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 492 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 3,109.45 (+3.7%) | 4.2 | 4.7% | 1.8d | 2.3d ago · 67× | 16% ±13 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±13 | 35% ±29 | 63% ±47 | 5.3d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 181 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 3,087.76–3,155.92 (+3.0%) | 3.4 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 8.8d ago · 82× | 32% ±13 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 7% ±3 | 31% ±13 | 47% ±24 | 57% ±37 | 4.4d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 313 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 3,050.59–3,062.98 (+1.7%) | 2.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 51% ±24 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 16% ±7 | 53% ±23 | 73% ±36 | 93% ±28 | 21h | 4.05% | 1.24% | 105 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,006.6 (+0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 82% ±17 | 47% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 52 | 67% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 91% ±22 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.89% | 125 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,998.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,982.43 (-0.5%) | 0.6 | 4.4% | 1.7d | 22.1d ago · 30× | 68% ±29 | 52% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 47% ±13 | 68% ±29 | 71% ±51 | 75% | 6h | 3.34% | 1.41% | 60 → 1 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,933.87–2,935.56 (-2.1%) | 2.4 | 4.3% | 1.5d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 46% ±17 | 48% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 42% ±11 | 71 | 18% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 64% ±28 | 81% ±34 | 1.3d | 2.18% | 1.37% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,883.97 (-3.8%) | 4.3 | 1.2% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 30% ±11 | 59% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±11 | 53% ±20 | 71% ±28 | 2.6d | 2.52% | 1.42% | 434 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,784.15 (-7.1%) | 8.0 | 0.1% | 27m | 2.0d ago · 59× | 10% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 30% ±17 | 57% ±28 | 5.7d | 2.40% | 2.45% | 509 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,998.41 | 2,933.87 | 3,028.67 | stop | +5.49% |