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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-29 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,366.59 (+11.9%) | 16 | 0.9% | 5h | 20.6d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±10 | 29% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 532 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D VAH | 3,109.45–3,113.56 (+3.4%) | 4.5 | 4.0% | 1.5d | 2.3d ago · 70× | 18% ±10 | 42% ±16 | 9% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 2% ±2 | 18% ±10 | 37% ±23 | 60% ±36 | 5.4d | 1.73% | 1.50% | 307 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 3,087.76–3,155.92 (+2.7%) | 3.6 | 3.0% | 1.4d | 8.8d ago · 82× | 30% ±12 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 6% ±3 | 29% ±12 | 45% ±23 | 55% ±34 | 5.1d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 322 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 3,050.59–3,062.98 (+1.4%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 4h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 52% ±24 | 52% ±20 | 15% ±14 | 33% ±19 | 24 | 17% ±7 | 54% ±23 | 73% ±35 | 93% ±28 | 21h | 4.05% | 1.24% | 106 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,008.48 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 2.7% | 20h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 84% ±17 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 53 | 73% ±9 | 85% ±17 | 91% ±22 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 1.94% | 1.84% | 102 → 2 | |
| at post · 3,007.85 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 2,988.62 (-0.6%) | 0.9 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 22.2d ago · 30× | 64% ±27 | 52% ±21 | 8% ±11 | 40% ±20 | 22 | 45% ±11 | 65% ±27 | 72% ±44 | 75% ±60 | 8h | 3.34% | 1.41% | 74 → 2 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,934.14–2,936.87 (-2.4%) | 3.2 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 40% ±15 | 48% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 42% ±11 | 71 | 10% ±4 | 39% ±15 | 57% ±26 | 77% ±34 | 1.8d | 2.18% | 1.37% | 243 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,883.27 (-4.1%) | 5.5 | 1.0% | 4h | 2.1d ago · 85× | 21% ±9 | 59% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 3% ±2 | 21% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 66% ±27 | 4.3d | 2.52% | 1.42% | 485 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,790.14 (-7.2%) | 9.7 | 0.2% | 54m | 2.1d ago · 59× | 8% ±6 | 44% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 26% ±16 | 52% ±28 | 6.5d | 2.40% | 2.45% | 520 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 3,007.85 | 2,934.14 | 3,031.02 | target | +6.78% |