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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-29 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,366.59 (+18.8%) | 20 | 1.1% | 5h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 23% ±26 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 410 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 3,109.45 (+9.7%) | 10 | 4.6% | 1.8d | 2.4d ago · 67× | 5% ±7 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±16 | 33% ±38 | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 244 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 3,050.59–3,062.98 (+7.7%) | 8.1 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 10% ±10 | 54% ±20 | 14% ±14 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±10 | 30% ±26 | 48% ±44 | > 7d | 3.58% | 1.21% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,046.87 (+7.5%) | 8.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 9% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 25% ±15 | 43% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 557 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,005.87 (+6.1%) | 6.5 | 3.2% | 24h | 2.6d ago · 97× | 14% ±7 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 53 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±7 | 29% ±17 | 50% ±28 | > 7d | 1.94% | 1.84% | 495 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,982.43 (+5.2%) | 5.6 | 3.7% | 1.5d | 104.7d ago · 18× | 9% ±12 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 21% ±30 | 36% ±54 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 127 → 3 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,933.03–2,934.14 (+3.5%) | 3.7 | 3.8% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 104× | 20% ±13 | 42% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 58 | 5% ±3 | 20% ±13 | 34% ±27 | 48% ±44 | 5.4d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 211 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,920.47–3,007.21 (+3.1%) | 3.3 | 2.9% | 15h | 8.9d ago · 82× | 33% ±13 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 8% ±3 | 33% ±13 | 48% ±24 | 58% ±37 | 4.0d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 310 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,870.23 (+1.3%) | 1.4 | 1.0% | 3h | 6.4d ago · 56× | 70% ±26 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 46% ±12 | 70% ±26 | 81% ±38 | 85% ±49 | 7h | 3.58% | 1.73% | 72 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,833.75 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 2,813.34 (-0.7%) | 0.8 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 61% ±20 | 44% ±16 | 8% ±9 | 49% ±16 | 36 | 42% ±8 | 61% ±20 | 67% ±35 | 72% ±51 | 10h | 2.40% | 2.45% | 130 → 3 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 2,833.75 | 2,933.03 | 2,771.31 | stop | -3.82% |