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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-01-30 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,371.21 (+20.2%) | 19 | 1.0% | 5h | 20.6d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±11 | 26% ±27 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 437 → 10 | |
| 30D POC | 3,113.95 (+11.1%) | 10 | 5.1% | 1.9d | 2.4d ago · 67× | 5% ±7 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±7 | 11% ±16 | 34% ±38 | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 245 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,041.78 (+8.5%) | 8.0 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.5d ago · 70× | 8% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 25% ±15 | 43% ±27 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 561 → 13 | |
| 7D VAH | 3,024.53 (+7.9%) | 7.5 | 2.6% | 17h | 2.6d ago · 97× | 9% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 24% ±16 | 42% ±29 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 481 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,980.44 (+6.3%) | 6.0 | 3.9% | 1.7d | 104.6d ago · 18× | 9% ±12 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±12 | 21% ±30 | 35% ±54 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 129 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,932.39–2,934.07 (+4.6%) | 4.3 | 4.2% | 1.2d | 2.4d ago · 104× | 14% ±11 | 42% ±13 | 9% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 58 | 3% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 26% ±25 | 41% ±43 | 6.3d | 2.12% | 1.56% | 216 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,921.83–3,013.01 (+4.2%) | 4.0 | 3.3% | 18h | 8.9d ago · 82× | 25% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 40% ±22 | 53% ±35 | 6.0d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 337 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,872.43 (+2.4%) | 2.3 | 1.1% | 4h | 6.4d ago · 56× | 47% ±28 | 55% ±18 | 6% ±9 | 39% ±17 | 30 | 12% ±8 | 47% ±28 | 65% ±47 | 75% ±60 | 1.2d | 3.58% | 1.73% | 72 → 2 | |
| LVN zone | 2,817.63–2,876.24 (+0.5%) | 0.5 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.1d ago · 50× | 72% ±27 | 54% ±20 | 14% ±14 | 32% ±18 | 25 | 51% ±12 | 72% ±27 | 82% ±37 | 91% ±39 | 3h | 3.58% | 1.21% | 66 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,807.89 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.4% | 6h | 22.1d ago · 46× | 93% ±19 | 38% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 55% ±19 | 26 | 84% ±11 | 93% ±19 | 98% ±21 | 98% | 1h | 3.00% | 2.66% | 41 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,803.79 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | short | 2,803.79 | 2,569.91 | 2,934.07 | expired | +3.52% |