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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,366.34 (+45.4%) | 29 | 1.1% | 7h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 2% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 13% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 288 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,113.52 (+34.5%) | 22 | 4.0% | 1.8d | 2.6d ago · 70× | 0% ±2 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 2% ±9 | 8% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 215 → 5 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,935.86–2,936.38 (+26.8%) | 17 | 4.2% | 1.6d | 2.4d ago · 79× | 1% ±4 | 33% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±11 | 18% ±37 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.52% | 170 → 4 | |
| HVN zone | 2,904.66–3,016.96 (+25.5%) | 16 | 2.3% | 13h | 8.9d ago · 82× | 7% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 1% ±2 | 7% ±11 | 12% ±24 | 37% ±55 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.88% | 118 → 3 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,792.36 (+20.6%) | 13 | 0.9% | 3h | 104.7d ago · 18× | 3% ±10 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±9 | 14% ±34 | 33% ±65 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,742.74 (+18.5%) | 12 | 1.5% | 7h | 2.6d ago · 97× | 2% ±3 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 15% ±15 | 28% ±29 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 393 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,442.99–2,680.06 (+5.5%) | 3.5 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 39% ±18 | 57% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 8% ±4 | 38% ±18 | 58% ±32 | 78% ±41 | 1.8d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 166 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,433.68 (+5.1%) | 3.3 | 0.8% | 4h | 22.2d ago · 46× | 38% ±22 | 40% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 53% ±19 | 27 | 6% ±4 | 37% ±22 | 61% ±39 | 80% ±45 | 1.7d | 3.10% | 2.63% | 113 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 2,320.47 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 9h | 2.4d ago · 104× | 94% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±13 | 59 | 81% ±6 | 94% ±9 | 96% ±12 | 98% ±15 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.45% | 161 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,314.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,156 (-6.9%) | 4.4 | 0.1% | 8m | 2.2d ago · 85× | 30% ±10 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 57 | 6% ±2 | 30% ±10 | 54% ±20 | 72% ±27 | 2.5d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 446 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,314.62 | 2,156 | 2,742.74 | target | +1.55% |