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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-04 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,390.77 (+51.2%) | 23 | 0.4% | 2h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 18% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 375 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,059.68 (+36.4%) | 16 | 1.1% | 3h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 2% ±3 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 10% ±12 | 21% ±25 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 413 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,938.94–2,942.14 (+31.0%) | 14 | 5.1% | 2.2d | 2.3d ago · 79× | 3% ±6 | 33% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±6 | 7% ±14 | 21% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.52% | 231 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,688.57 (+19.9%) | 8.9 | 1.0% | 8h | 104.5d ago · 18× | 4% ±8 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±2 | 4% ±8 | 15% ±24 | 31% ±52 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,630.35 (+17.3%) | 7.8 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 7% ±5 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 40% ±28 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 495 → 12 | |
| LVN zone | 2,454.5–2,675.56 (+9.4%) | 4.2 | 0.6% | 5h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 28% ±16 | 57% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±16 | 46% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 4.0d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 179 → 4 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,325.57 (+3.7%) | 1.7 | 3.1% | 13h | 22.0d ago · 46× | 57% ±27 | 40% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 53% ±19 | 27 | 22% ±9 | 56% ±27 | 71% ±45 | 80% ±55 | 18h | 3.10% | 2.63% | 79 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 2,296.3 (+2.4%) | 1.1 | 3.5% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 104× | 82% ±12 | 52% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 41% ±12 | 60 | 57% ±6 | 82% ±12 | 89% ±17 | 93% ±20 | 3h | 2.28% | 1.45% | 242 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,259.44–2,324.46 (+0.7%) | 0.3 | 3.0% | 12h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 82% ±16 | 52% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 55 | 67% ±8 | 82% ±16 | 89% ±23 | 92% ±30 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.88% | 129 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,243.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,103.4 (-6.2%) | 2.8 | 0.2% | 10m | 2.0d ago · 85× | 37% ±13 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 57 | 11% ±3 | 38% ±13 | 61% ±23 | 70% ±32 | 1.6d | 2.52% | 1.44% | 327 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
no directional VAH / POC / VAL setup fired on this candle.