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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-05 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,403.77 (+65.0%) | 25 | 0.1% | 26m | 20.7d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±7 | 15% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 341 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 3,045 (+47.6%) | 19 | 1.1% | 5h | 2.6d ago · 70× | 1% ±3 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 5% ±10 | 15% ±25 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 330 → 8 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,932.97–2,939.38 (+42.2%) | 16 | 5.0% | 2.1d | 2.4d ago · 79× | 1% ±4 | 33% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 44 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±4 | 3% ±9 | 17% ±33 | > 7d | 1.76% | 1.52% | 190 → 5 | |
| LVN zone | 2,434.88–2,694.16 (+18.0%) | 7.0 | 1.0% | 6h | 1.2d ago · 50× | 14% ±11 | 57% ±19 | 13% ±13 | 30% ±17 | 27 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 35% ±27 | 50% ±44 | 6.9d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 219 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,425.65 (+17.6%) | 6.8 | 1.2% | 6h | 2.7d ago · 97× | 12% ±7 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 27% ±16 | 45% ±27 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 527 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,380.3 (+15.4%) | 6.0 | 1.6% | 5h | 104.7d ago · 18× | 8% ±11 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 1% ±2 | 8% ±11 | 18% ±27 | 32% ±46 | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 149 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,295.32 (+11.3%) | 4.4 | 3.5% | 14h | 2.4d ago · 104× | 16% ±12 | 52% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 41% ±12 | 60 | 3% ±2 | 16% ±12 | 31% ±25 | 49% ±44 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.45% | 227 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,260.43 (+9.6%) | 3.7 | 3.0% | 13h | 22.2d ago · 46× | 29% ±19 | 40% ±18 | 7% ±9 | 53% ±19 | 27 | 4% ±3 | 28% ±19 | 50% ±37 | 71% ±51 | 3.0d | 3.10% | 2.63% | 128 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,243.83–2,325.71 (+8.8%) | 3.4 | 2.8% | 10h | 8.9d ago · 82× | 30% ±12 | 53% ±13 | 17% ±10 | 31% ±12 | 56 | 6% ±3 | 30% ±12 | 44% ±22 | 54% ±35 | 5.3d | 1.95% | 1.91% | 337 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,075.09 (+0.6%) | 0.2 | 1.2% | 2h | 6.4d ago · 56× | 92% ±17 | 56% ±17 | 6% ±8 | 38% ±17 | 31 | 79% ±10 | 92% ±17 | 93% ±28 | 95% | 1h | 3.74% | 1.71% | 59 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,062.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,062.96 | 1,712.4 | 2,295.32 | expired | +6.93% |