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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-08 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 3,403.77 (+60.9%) | 42 | <0.1% | 13m | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±6 | 3% ±18 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 140 → 3 | |
| 30D POC | 2,928.46 (+38.4%) | 27 | 2.5% | 1.1d | 2.2d ago · 67× | 1% ±5 | 33% ±15 | 15% ±12 | 51% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±2 | 1% ±4 | 4% ±16 | 8% ±30 | > 7d | 1.50% | 1.37% | 107 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,455.96 (+16.1%) | 11 | 0.3% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 6% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 17% ±13 | 32% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 595 → 14 | |
| LVN zone | 2,436.48–2,686.64 (+15.2%) | 10 | 0.5% | 4h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 3% ±5 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 16% ±19 | 32% ±35 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 275 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,339.68 (+10.6%) | 7.3 | 1.3% | 8h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 9% ±6 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 41% ±28 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 524 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,236.35–2,336.41 (+5.7%) | 3.9 | 1.4% | 5h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 25% ±11 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 40% ±21 | 51% ±33 | 6.8d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 362 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,186.31 (+3.4%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 2h | 104.5d ago · 18× | 28% ±29 | 44% ±27 | 13% ±18 | 44% ±27 | 13 | 7% ±6 | 27% ±28 | 41% ±56 | 46% | > 7d | 2.28% | 2.10% | 58 → 1 | |
| at post · 2,115.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,109.08 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.0% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 89% ±13 | 42% ±13 | 16% ±10 | 42% ±13 | 54 | 75% ±7 | 89% ±13 | 93% ±18 | 95% ±26 | 1h | 1.97% | 1.57% | 146 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 2,083.48 (-1.5%) | 1.0 | 2.3% | 13h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 79% ±13 | 50% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 45% ±11 | 73 | 61% ±6 | 79% ±13 | 87% ±18 | 94% ±20 | 2h | 2.18% | 1.25% | 232 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,002.75 (-5.3%) | 3.7 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 36% ±11 | 59% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 32% ±12 | 60 | 9% ±3 | 36% ±11 | 59% ±20 | 74% ±27 | 1.8d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 416 → 10 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,814.56 (-14.2%) | 9.8 | 0.2% | 16m | 2.0d ago · 59× | 8% ±6 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 27% ±16 | 53% ±27 | 6.3d | 2.41% | 2.60% | 530 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,115.24 | 2,455.96 | 1,814.56 | expired | -3.14% |