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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-09 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,435 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0005 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.20 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,936.8 (+40.5%) | 28 | 2.6% | 1.4d | 21.0d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 3% ±7 | 13% ±23 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 335 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,436.48–2,686.64 (+16.6%) | 11 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.5d ago · 50× | 2% ±4 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 13% ±16 | 27% ±33 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 300 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,390.51 (+14.4%) | 10.0 | 0.7% | 3h | 3.0d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 20% ±13 | 35% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 614 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,236.35–2,336.41 (+7.0%) | 4.9 | 1.4% | 5h | 9.3d ago · 82× | 16% ±9 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 57 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±9 | 31% ±20 | 49% ±33 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.88% | 386 → 9 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,199.68 (+5.2%) | 3.6 | 1.0% | 2h | 3.0d ago · 97× | 33% ±11 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 5% ±2 | 33% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 73% ±27 | 2.7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 404 → 10 | |
| 14D POC | 2,095.99 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 2.8% | 17h | 2.8d ago · 79× | 94% ±11 | 31% ±14 | 15% ±10 | 54% ±15 | 45 | 81% ±7 | 94% ±10 | 96% ±15 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.66% | 119 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,090.26 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,077.91–2,086.98 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 20h | 2.6d ago · 106× | 86% ±13 | 52% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 74 | 74% ±7 | 86% ±13 | 90% ±19 | 94% ±23 | 1h | 2.42% | 1.30% | 166 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,909.89 (-8.6%) | 6.0 | 1.1% | 3h | 2.5d ago · 85× | 21% ±9 | 59% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 32% ±12 | 60 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±9 | 44% ±18 | 67% ±27 | 4.1d | 2.57% | 1.46% | 518 → 12 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,880.01 (-10.1%) | 7.0 | 0.9% | 2h | 2.5d ago · 59× | 12% ±7 | 45% ±16 | 8% ±8 | 48% ±16 | 37 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±7 | 36% ±17 | 63% ±27 | 4.7d | 2.41% | 2.60% | 520 → 12 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-16.9%) | 12 | <0.1% | 3m | 22.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 35% ±26 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 529 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,090.26 | 2,199.68 | 1,909.89 | expired | -3.13% |
| 30d | POC | long | 2,090.26 | 2,936.8 | 1,736.02 | expired | -3.13% |