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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-12 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,886.77 (+51.3%) | 41 | 0.8% | 5h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 1% ±5 | 2% ±14 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 169 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,469.83–2,636.61 (+29.5%) | 24 | 0.2% | 45m | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 13% ±25 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 289 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,297.45 (+20.4%) | 16 | 1.3% | 6h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 2% ±3 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 19% ±23 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 459 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,127.04 (+11.5%) | 9.2 | 1.6% | 8h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 4% ±4 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±13 | 31% ±26 | > 7d | 1.96% | 1.76% | 517 → 12 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,089.72–2,094.59 (+9.5%) | 7.6 | 2.4% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 79× | 6% ±7 | 34% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 51% ±14 | 47 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±7 | 12% ±16 | 29% ±34 | > 7d | 1.83% | 1.57% | 274 → 7 | |
| 7D POC | 2,016.81 (+5.7%) | 4.6 | 1.9% | 14h | 2.3d ago · 104× | 14% ±11 | 52% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 40% ±12 | 62 | 2% ±2 | 14% ±11 | 26% ±23 | 44% ±40 | > 7d | 2.28% | 1.49% | 244 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,939.85 (+1.7%) | 1.3 | 1.8% | 8h | 6.3d ago · 56× | 69% ±24 | 57% ±17 | 5% ±8 | 38% ±16 | 34 | 47% ±11 | 70% ±24 | 79% ±36 | 81% ±54 | 6h | 3.58% | 1.73% | 84 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 1,919.47–2,152.96 (+0.6%) | 0.5 | 1.2% | 5h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 83% ±15 | 52% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 30% ±12 | 58 | 65% ±7 | 83% ±14 | 89% ±20 | 92% ±27 | 1h | 2.01% | 1.87% | 157 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,907.82 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 1,881.99 (-1.4%) | 1.1 | 0.7% | 2h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 59% ±19 | 46% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 46% ±16 | 38 | 37% ±7 | 59% ±19 | 67% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 11h | 2.44% | 2.45% | 163 → 4 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-9.0%) | 7.2 | <0.1% | 2m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 6% ±6 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 22% ±17 | 40% ±32 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 394 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 1,907.82 | 1,720.63 | 2,016.81 | stop | -8.01% |