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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-14 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,433 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.41) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,757.19 (+33.2%) | 36 | 0.3% | 2h | 20.7d ago · 44× | 0% ±2 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±3 | 2% ±12 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 239 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 2,460.72–2,641.9 (+18.9%) | 20 | 0.1% | 46m | 1.2d ago · 50× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±24 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 320 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,263.08–2,328.96 (+9.3%) | 10 | 0.9% | 5h | 9.0d ago · 82× | 6% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 17% ±18 | 39% ±36 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 304 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,248.89 (+8.6%) | 9.4 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.7d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 20% ±13 | 35% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 636 → 15 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC · 14D POC | 2,084.86–2,091.43 (+0.7%) | 0.8 | 2.0% | 15h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 78% ±15 | 40% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 54 | 59% ±7 | 78% ±15 | 88% ±20 | 93% ±25 | 2h | 1.88% | 1.65% | 176 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,070 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,946.71 (-6.0%) | 6.5 | 1.8% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 106× | 19% ±11 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 75 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 36% ±24 | 66% ±38 | 4.1d | 2.33% | 1.61% | 272 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,929.92 (-6.8%) | 7.3 | 1.4% | 7h | 2.2d ago · 85× | 16% ±8 | 58% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±8 | 36% ±17 | 62% ±26 | 4.7d | 2.64% | 1.48% | 530 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,888.98 (-8.7%) | 9.5 | 0.6% | 2h | 2.2d ago · 59× | 9% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 27% ±16 | 52% ±27 | 6.6d | 2.46% | 2.29% | 548 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-16.1%) | 17 | <0.1% | 2m | 22.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±11 | 24% ±24 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 500 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,070 | 1,946.71 | 2,112.75 | expired | +2.91% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,070 | 1,888.98 | 2,248.89 | expired | +2.91% |
| 30d | POC | short | 2,070 | 1,736.02 | 2,757.19 | expired | +2.91% |