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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-15 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,715.2 (+31.3%) | 33 | 0.4% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 8% ±20 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 297 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,470.4–2,633.6 (+19.5%) | 20 | 0.2% | 37m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±24 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 325 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,258.25–2,323.53 (+9.2%) | 9.7 | 0.9% | 5h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 6% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±6 | 18% ±18 | 38% ±34 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 331 → 8 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,178.24 (+5.3%) | 5.6 | 0.6% | 1h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 13% ±8 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 32% ±19 | 50% ±31 | 7.0d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 404 → 10 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,082.28–2,086.89 (+0.7%) | 0.7 | 2.4% | 23h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 82% ±14 | 40% ±13 | 11% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 54 | 65% ±7 | 82% ±14 | 91% ±18 | 94% ±22 | 1h | 1.88% | 1.65% | 173 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,068 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,946.71 (-5.9%) | 6.2 | 1.9% | 13h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 20% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 75 | 4% ±2 | 20% ±11 | 37% ±24 | 68% ±35 | 4.1d | 2.33% | 1.61% | 279 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,929.92 (-6.7%) | 7.0 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 16% ±8 | 58% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 37% ±17 | 63% ±26 | 4.6d | 2.64% | 1.48% | 536 → 13 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,883.43 (-8.9%) | 9.4 | 0.6% | 2h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 9% ±6 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±6 | 27% ±16 | 52% ±27 | 6.6d | 2.46% | 2.29% | 553 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-16.1%) | 17 | <0.1% | 2m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 10% ±11 | 25% ±25 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 512 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,068 | 1,946.71 | 2,109.7 | target | +4.44% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,068 | 1,883.43 | 2,178.24 | expired | +4.44% |
| 30d | POC | short | 2,068 | 1,736.02 | 2,715.2 | expired | +4.44% |