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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-15 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,698.88 (+38.5%) | 29 | 0.5% | 7h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 9% ±20 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 351 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,470.4–2,617.28 (+26.7%) | 20 | 0.2% | 45m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±7 | 14% ±24 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 328 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,258.25–2,323.53 (+15.9%) | 12 | 1.2% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 4% ±6 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 14% ±18 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 249 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,164.62 (+11.1%) | 8.5 | 0.8% | 2h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 0% ±1 | 7% ±5 | 21% ±14 | 38% ±25 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 626 → 15 | |
| 14D POC | 2,088.79 (+7.2%) | 5.5 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 7% ±8 | 35% ±14 | 14% ±10 | 51% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±8 | 19% ±21 | 25% ±34 | > 7d | 2.03% | 1.64% | 231 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 30D POC | 2,066.78–2,070.57 (+6.0%) | 4.6 | 2.6% | 16h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 21% ±9 | 45% ±13 | 9% ±8 | 46% ±13 | 55 | 3% ±1 | 21% ±9 | 37% ±18 | 61% ±28 | 4.6d | 1.88% | 1.56% | 488 → 12 | |
| at post · 1,949.1 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,946.71 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.6% | 18h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 88% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 75 | 77% ±6 | 88% ±12 | 92% ±18 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.33% | 1.61% | 169 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,929.92 (-1.0%) | 0.8 | 1.9% | 10h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 71% ±16 | 58% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±12 | 63 | 51% ±7 | 71% ±16 | 84% ±22 | 87% ±29 | 4h | 2.64% | 1.48% | 200 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,900.87 (-2.5%) | 1.9 | 1.0% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 45% ±17 | 48% ±16 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±16 | 39 | 18% ±5 | 45% ±17 | 57% ±29 | 65% ±42 | 2.3d | 2.46% | 2.29% | 194 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-10.9%) | 8.4 | <0.1% | 2m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 5% ±5 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 0% ±0 | 5% ±5 | 19% ±15 | 37% ±29 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 454 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 1,949.1 | 1,946.71 | 1,905.29 | target | +2.22% |