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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-16 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,649.92 (+34.3%) | 26 | 0.2% | 2h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±7 | 12% ±21 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 383 → 9 | |
| LVN zone | 2,470.4–2,617.28 (+25.2%) | 19 | 0.2% | 45m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±7 | 13% ±24 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 339 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,258.25–2,323.53 (+14.5%) | 11 | 1.2% | 6h | 8.7d ago · 82× | 5% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±6 | 15% ±17 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 282 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,135.28 (+8.2%) | 6.3 | 1.5% | 6h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 11% ±7 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 11% ±7 | 29% ±17 | 47% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 485 → 12 | |
| 14D POC | 2,086.98 (+5.8%) | 4.5 | 3.1% | 1.2d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 10% ±10 | 37% ±13 | 13% ±10 | 50% ±14 | 49 | 2% ±2 | 9% ±10 | 20% ±24 | 29% ±40 | > 7d | 2.04% | 1.63% | 192 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,070.57 (+5.0%) | 3.8 | 2.7% | 17h | 2.2d ago · 67× | 18% ±14 | 37% ±15 | 15% ±11 | 49% ±16 | 38 | 4% ±3 | 18% ±13 | 41% ±29 | 67% ±41 | 4.8d | 1.75% | 1.37% | 193 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,031.05 (+3.0%) | 2.3 | 2.1% | 10h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 46% ±15 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 55 | 13% ±4 | 46% ±15 | 65% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.2d | 1.98% | 1.69% | 261 → 6 | |
| at post · 1,972.73 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,956.06 (-0.8%) | 0.7 | 2.8% | 22h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 84% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 75 | 70% ±6 | 85% ±12 | 90% ±17 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 2.33% | 1.61% | 218 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,906.48–1,916.33 (-2.9%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 8h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 40% ±13 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 38% ±12 | 63 | 13% ±4 | 40% ±13 | 60% ±23 | 68% ±32 | 2.0d | 2.57% | 1.79% | 328 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,736.02 (-12.0%) | 9.2 | <0.1% | 2m | 22.0d ago · 30× | 4% ±4 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±4 | 17% ±14 | 36% ±27 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 496 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,972.73 | 2,031.05 | 1,906.48 | expired | +0.34% |