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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-21 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,442.87–2,678.49 (+24.1%) | 33 | 0.2% | 2h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±2 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 0% ±4 | 7% ±20 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 234 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,338.15 (+18.8%) | 26 | 0.6% | 4h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 1% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 2% ±6 | 12% ±20 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 417 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,259.61–2,311.97 (+14.8%) | 20 | 0.7% | 4h | 8.8d ago · 82× | 3% ±7 | 53% ±13 | 18% ±10 | 29% ±12 | 59 | 1% ±2 | 3% ±7 | 6% ±18 | 26% ±50 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.85% | 120 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,059.04 (+4.6%) | 6.3 | 1.5% | 10h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 10% ±6 | 51% ±17 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±17 | 34 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 28% ±17 | 45% ±28 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 510 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,002.23 (+1.7%) | 2.4 | 1.6% | 12h | 2.5d ago · 97× | 44% ±14 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 56 | 13% ±4 | 44% ±14 | 64% ±23 | 83% ±28 | 1.3d | 2.13% | 1.68% | 294 → 7 | |
| at post · 1,968.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,964.78–1,966.96 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 106× | 89% ±12 | 51% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±11 | 78 | 76% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.37% | 1.40% | 176 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,929.92–1,933.71 (-1.7%) | 2.4 | 1.7% | 10h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 41% ±13 | 56% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 36% ±12 | 66 | 13% ±4 | 41% ±13 | 63% ±22 | 71% ±31 | 1.9d | 2.65% | 1.56% | 331 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,880.01 (-4.5%) | 6.1 | 0.4% | 55m | 22.1d ago · 30× | 8% ±7 | 50% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 42% ±20 | 23 | 2% ±1 | 8% ±7 | 24% ±18 | 39% ±32 | > 7d | 3.24% | 1.55% | 375 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 1,968.11 | 2,002.23 | 1,933.71 | expired | +0.22% |
| 14d | POC | long | 1,968.11 | 2,059.04 | 1,929.92 | expired | +0.22% |
| 30d | POC | long | 1,968.11 | 2,338.15 | 1,880.01 | expired | +0.22% |