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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-28 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,466.84–2,527.74 (+33.2%) | 25 | 0.2% | 49m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 1% ±5 | 9% ±19 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 360 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,150.15 (+16.1%) | 12 | 0.9% | 3h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±3 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 0% ±1 | 3% ±3 | 13% ±12 | 34% ±25 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 599 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,061.46 (+11.3%) | 8.4 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 70× | 7% ±5 | 51% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 0% ±0 | 7% ±5 | 22% ±13 | 40% ±24 | > 7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 685 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,997.75 (+7.9%) | 5.8 | 3.4% | 1.1d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 17% ±8 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 31% ±16 | 51% ±27 | 6.8d | 2.13% | 1.76% | 566 → 13 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,973.54–1,974.74 (+6.6%) | 4.9 | 5.2% | 2.6d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 12% ±9 | 38% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 49% ±13 | 53 | 2% ±2 | 12% ±9 | 29% ±23 | 45% ±40 | 5.5d | 1.92% | 1.48% | 262 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,905.72 (+2.9%) | 2.2 | 2.2% | 11h | 21.9d ago · 46× | 48% ±24 | 39% ±17 | 6% ±9 | 55% ±18 | 30 | 12% ±6 | 48% ±24 | 64% ±42 | 71% ±63 | 1.1d | 3.00% | 2.66% | 97 → 2 | |
| 7D POC | 1,857.94 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 1.7% | 16h | 2.2d ago · 104× | 91% ±10 | 52% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±12 | 66 | 78% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.49% | 192 → 5 | |
| at post · 1,851.43 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAL | 1,833.46 (-1.0%) | 0.7 | 1.0% | 5h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 71% ±26 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 49% ±11 | 71% ±26 | 79% ±40 | 81% ±54 | 5h | 3.24% | 2.35% | 73 → 2 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,813.7 (-2.0%) | 1.5 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 57% ±14 | 59% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±11 | 67 | 32% ±5 | 57% ±14 | 78% ±21 | 83% ±28 | 12h | 2.71% | 1.44% | 278 → 7 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,851.43 | 1,813.7 | 1,997.75 | stop | -7.23% |