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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-02-28 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,465.88–2,623.08 (+29.6%) | 23 | 0.2% | 49m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±6 | 11% ±20 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 378 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,140.25 (+12.5%) | 9.8 | 1.2% | 5h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 3% ±4 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±4 | 15% ±13 | 37% ±26 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 539 → 13 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,036.69 (+7.0%) | 5.5 | 2.7% | 16h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 13% ±8 | 51% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 31% ±18 | 52% ±30 | 6.7d | 1.98% | 1.64% | 454 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 1,990.67 (+4.6%) | 3.6 | 3.4% | 1.2d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 30% ±10 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 4% ±2 | 30% ±10 | 48% ±20 | 72% ±27 | 3.4d | 2.13% | 1.76% | 458 → 11 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC | 1,966.21–1,974.74 (+3.3%) | 2.6 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 2.1d ago · 79× | 30% ±18 | 38% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 49% ±13 | 53 | 9% ±5 | 29% ±18 | 49% ±33 | 64% ±47 | 4.4d | 1.99% | 1.44% | 154 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,902.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAL | 1,877.41 (-1.3%) | 1.1 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.9d ago · 59× | 60% ±18 | 50% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 43% ±15 | 43 | 39% ±7 | 61% ±17 | 70% ±28 | 74% ±43 | 10h | 2.55% | 1.79% | 186 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 1,861.48 (-2.2%) | 1.7 | 1.8% | 16h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 63% ±16 | 54% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 81 | 31% ±6 | 63% ±16 | 76% ±24 | 88% ±28 | 12h | 2.33% | 1.61% | 217 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,837.08 (-3.5%) | 2.7 | 1.0% | 4h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 36% ±17 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 10% ±4 | 35% ±17 | 51% ±31 | 58% ±48 | 2.8d | 3.24% | 2.35% | 182 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,813.7 (-4.7%) | 3.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 38% ±11 | 59% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 33% ±11 | 67 | 8% ±2 | 38% ±11 | 63% ±19 | 77% ±25 | 1.6d | 2.71% | 1.44% | 469 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAL | long | 1,902.77 | 1,974.74 | 1,848.74 | target | +3.71% |