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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-01 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,463.05–2,524.48 (+24.8%) | 16 | 0.2% | 1h | 12.0d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±23 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 394 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,135.37 (+8.2%) | 5.3 | 1.6% | 7h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 14% ±10 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 14% ±10 | 28% ±23 | 46% ±37 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 278 → 7 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,029.61 (+2.9%) | 1.9 | 3.6% | 24h | 2.4d ago · 70× | 65% ±20 | 51% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 36 | 33% ±8 | 65% ±20 | 76% ±32 | 82% ±43 | 11h | 1.98% | 1.64% | 127 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,004.83 (+1.6%) | 1.0 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 2.5d ago · 97× | 71% ±15 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±13 | 58 | 53% ±7 | 71% ±15 | 86% ±20 | 93% ±23 | 4h | 2.13% | 1.76% | 216 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 1,974.74 (+0.1%) | 0.0 | 6.5% | 3.1d | 2.3d ago · 79× | 94% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 13% ±9 | 48% ±13 | 53 | 83% ±6 | 94% ±10 | 95% ±16 | 97% ±20 | 1h | 2.05% | 1.58% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,973.35 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,956.18 (-0.9%) | 0.6 | 6.4% | 2.6d | 2.1d ago · 72× | 85% ±14 | 57% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 34% ±13 | 50 | 69% ±8 | 85% ±14 | 90% ±20 | 93% ±30 | 1h | 2.55% | 1.17% | 145 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,891.57 (-4.1%) | 2.7 | 2.2% | 12h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 34% ±13 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 8% ±3 | 34% ±13 | 55% ±24 | 65% ±35 | 2.4d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 296 → 7 | |
| HVN zone | 1,858.9–1,879.38 (-4.8%) | 3.1 | 1.9% | 9h | 3.8d ago · 84× | 45% ±16 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±12 | 65 | 10% ±4 | 45% ±16 | 70% ±25 | 83% ±33 | 1.2d | 1.92% | 1.64% | 227 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAL | 1,858.9–1,861.48 (-5.7%) | 3.7 | 2.3% | 19h | 2.1d ago · 106× | 32% ±14 | 51% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 43% ±11 | 82 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 50% ±25 | 65% ±35 | 4.2d | 2.55% | 1.83% | 278 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,813.7 (-8.1%) | 5.3 | 0.7% | 4h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 25% ±9 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 3% ±2 | 25% ±9 | 51% ±18 | 71% ±25 | 2.8d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 547 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 1,973.35 | 1,861.48 | 2,039.23 | stop | -4.56% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,973.35 | 1,891.57 | 2,029.61 | stop | -4.56% |