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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,432 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0034), and their calibration slope is 0.09 (95% -0.21 to 0.40) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,478.85–2,527.72 (+26.5%) | 16 | 0.2% | 29m | 11.9d ago · 49× | 0% ±1 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±0 | 0% ±1 | 6% ±10 | 15% ±24 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 392 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,126.98 (+8.5%) | 5.1 | 2.2% | 11h | 20.5d ago · 44× | 15% ±11 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±11 | 30% ±23 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 262 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,018.99–2,029.61 (+3.0%) | 1.8 | 4.4% | 1.3d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 50% ±15 | 49% ±13 | 4% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 59 | 24% ±5 | 50% ±15 | 68% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 24h | 2.17% | 1.77% | 246 → 6 | |
| 14D POC | 1,974.74 (+0.8%) | 0.5 | 7.1% | 3.3d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 93% ±10 | 39% ±13 | 12% ±9 | 49% ±13 | 54 | 77% ±7 | 93% ±10 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 2.06% | 1.60% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,959.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 1,955.94 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 7.2% | 2.9d | 2.0d ago · 72× | 88% ±15 | 57% ±14 | 9% ±8 | 34% ±13 | 50 | 74% ±8 | 88% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 94% ±27 | 1h | 2.55% | 1.17% | 118 → 3 | |
| 7D POC | 1,921.65 (-1.9%) | 1.2 | 4.6% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 77% ±13 | 53% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 82 | 55% ±6 | 77% ±13 | 86% ±18 | 93% ±21 | 3h | 2.34% | 1.67% | 259 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,891.57 (-3.5%) | 2.1 | 2.4% | 12h | 2.0d ago · 59× | 39% ±15 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 14% ±4 | 39% ±15 | 56% ±27 | 65% ±38 | 2.3d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 239 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,863.08 (-4.9%) | 3.0 | 2.4% | 19h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 34% ±16 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 9% ±4 | 34% ±16 | 49% ±30 | 56% ±43 | 3.4d | 3.24% | 2.35% | 201 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,842.01 (-6.0%) | 3.6 | 1.6% | 8h | 2.0d ago · 85× | 38% ±11 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 64% ±18 | 77% ±25 | 1.6d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 467 → 11 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 1,959.77 | 2,126.98 | 1,863.08 | expired | +3.81% |