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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,127.67 (+4.6%) | 2.9 | 2.2% | 11h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 38% ±20 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 7% ±4 | 38% ±20 | 59% ±36 | 77% ±47 | 1.8d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 134 → 3 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,072.08 (+1.9%) | 1.2 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 67% ±15 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 59 | 48% ±7 | 67% ±15 | 83% ±21 | 92% ±24 | 5h | 2.29% | 1.84% | 224 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,047.3 (+0.6%) | 0.4 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 2.3d ago · 70× | 76% ±21 | 53% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 60% ±10 | 76% ±21 | 81% ±34 | 87% ±47 | 2h | 2.15% | 1.39% | 95 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,034.17 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,968.79–1,974.74 (-2.9%) | 1.8 | 7.7% | 3.4d | 2.0d ago · 85× | 63% ±19 | 50% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 38% ±12 | 62 | 33% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 77% ±27 | 88% ±32 | 11h | 2.28% | 1.48% | 155 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,891.2–1,921.65 (-5.5%) | 3.4 | 4.9% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 106× | 31% ±10 | 53% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 40% ±11 | 82 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 54% ±18 | 69% ±26 | 2.1d | 2.59% | 1.76% | 497 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,034.17 | 1,974.74 | 2,073.43 | target | +2.79% |