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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,206.31–2,213.33 (+13.0%) | 8.7 | 0.7% | 2h | 11.8d ago · 49× | 8% ±8 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 0% ±1 | 8% ±8 | 24% ±22 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 261 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,129.1 (+9.1%) | 6.0 | 1.9% | 9h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 9% ±7 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±7 | 22% ±18 | 39% ±34 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 344 → 8 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,065 (+5.8%) | 3.8 | 4.1% | 1.2d | 2.3d ago · 97× | 29% ±10 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 47% ±13 | 59 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±10 | 47% ±19 | 71% ±27 | 3.5d | 2.29% | 1.84% | 474 → 11 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,047.3 (+4.9%) | 3.2 | 4.4% | 1.4d | 2.3d ago · 70× | 37% ±18 | 53% ±16 | 3% ±5 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 12% ±5 | 39% ±17 | 58% ±31 | 72% ±44 | 2.3d | 2.15% | 1.39% | 183 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC | 1,967.67–1,971.17 (+0.8%) | 0.5 | 7.4% | 3.4d | 2.1d ago · 79× | 89% ±12 | 37% ±13 | 12% ±9 | 51% ±13 | 55 | 74% ±7 | 89% ±12 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 2.02% | 1.55% | 167 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,952.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC | 1,946.43 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 6.8% | 2.5d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 89% ±11 | 53% ±11 | 5% ±5 | 42% ±11 | 83 | 77% ±6 | 89% ±11 | 93% ±15 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 2.36% | 1.61% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,897.46–1,912.8 (-2.0%) | 1.3 | 3.7% | 23h | 1.9d ago · 85× | 54% ±15 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 28% ±5 | 54% ±15 | 70% ±23 | 75% ±35 | 19h | 2.75% | 1.81% | 262 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,952.11 | 1,905.72 | 2,047.3 | stop | -5.69% |
| 30d | POC | short | 1,952.11 | 1,897.46 | 2,129.1 | expired | -5.69% |