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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-03 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,177.8–2,184.4 (+9.8%) | 7.0 | 0.8% | 2h | 11.7d ago · 49× | 13% ±11 | 55% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 32% ±17 | 28 | 2% ±2 | 13% ±11 | 32% ±25 | 46% ±40 | > 7d | 4.58% | 1.24% | 232 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,118.46 (+6.8%) | 4.8 | 2.3% | 13h | 20.2d ago · 44× | 16% ±11 | 43% ±22 | 13% ±15 | 43% ±22 | 20 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 32% ±25 | 48% ±40 | > 7d | 2.07% | 1.73% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,061.5 (+4.0%) | 2.8 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 2.2d ago · 97× | 40% ±12 | 49% ±13 | 5% ±5 | 46% ±13 | 60 | 9% ±3 | 40% ±12 | 59% ±21 | 81% ±25 | 1.5d | 2.32% | 1.76% | 387 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,047.3 (+3.2%) | 2.3 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 2.2d ago · 70× | 59% ±20 | 51% ±16 | 2% ±5 | 46% ±16 | 38 | 25% ±7 | 58% ±20 | 74% ±30 | 81% ±44 | 15h | 2.23% | 1.64% | 140 → 3 | |
| at post · 1,983.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,960.59–1,970.1 (-0.7%) | 0.5 | 7.4% | 3.4d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 85% ±11 | 51% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±11 | 83 | 68% ±6 | 85% ±11 | 91% ±15 | 95% ±18 | 1h | 2.35% | 1.54% | 256 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,922.51 (-3.1%) | 2.2 | 4.3% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 85× | 47% ±13 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 17% ±4 | 46% ±13 | 71% ±21 | 78% ±29 | 1.2d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 318 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,900.87–1,905.72 (-3.9%) | 2.8 | 2.8% | 14h | 1.7d ago · 59× | 32% ±13 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 8% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 51% ±23 | 60% ±34 | 3.6d | 2.77% | 2.15% | 315 → 8 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 1,983.08 | 2,118.46 | 1,900.87 | target | +7.98% |