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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-06 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,202.97–2,230.11 (+6.2%) | 5.2 | 0.2% | 32m | 11.7d ago · 49× | 22% ±14 | 56% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 31% ±17 | 29 | 3% ±3 | 22% ±14 | 40% ±29 | 58% ±43 | 5.6d | 4.63% | 1.21% | 199 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,082.54–2,094.37 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 4.5% | 1.6d | 2.1d ago · 97× | 81% ±16 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 61 | 64% ±8 | 81% ±15 | 88% ±22 | 92% ±27 | 2h | 2.19% | 1.86% | 147 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,074.91 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 1,926.06–2,018.36 (-2.7%) | 2.3 | 4.0% | 1.1d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 53% ±17 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±12 | 65 | 16% ±5 | 54% ±16 | 76% ±24 | 88% ±29 | 22h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 220 → 5 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D POC | 1,966.78–1,967.47 (-5.2%) | 4.4 | 7.3% | 3.1d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 32% ±13 | 52% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 39% ±10 | 84 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 73% ±33 | 3.0d | 2.39% | 1.49% | 299 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,904.94–1,915.2 (-7.7%) | 6.5 | 3.5% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 85× | 14% ±7 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 35% ±16 | 58% ±26 | 4.5d | 2.75% | 1.81% | 585 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,074.91 | 1,967.43 | 2,112.79 | target | +4.73% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,074.91 | 1,967.47 | 2,119.18 | target | +4.73% |