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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-06 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH · 30D VAH | 2,082.54–2,088.24 (+5.7%) | 4.9 | 4.3% | 1.6d | 2.2d ago · 97× | 20% ±8 | 48% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 47% ±13 | 61 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 37% ±17 | 58% ±27 | 5.3d | 2.19% | 1.86% | 549 → 13 | |
| HVN zone | 2,051.17–2,083.61 (+4.1%) | 3.5 | 4.2% | 1.4d | 8.5d ago · 82× | 29% ±11 | 53% ±13 | 19% ±10 | 28% ±11 | 61 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±11 | 42% ±22 | 51% ±33 | 6.7d | 2.06% | 1.88% | 359 → 9 | |
| 14D POC | 1,975.54 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 6.8% | 2.8d | 2.0d ago · 79× | 93% ±10 | 37% ±13 | 12% ±8 | 51% ±13 | 56 | 80% ±6 | 93% ±10 | 95% ±14 | 97% ±17 | 1h | 2.09% | 1.64% | 153 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,970.2 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 1,967.43–1,970.06 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 7.1% | 3.0d | 1.8d ago · 106× | 90% ±10 | 56% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 38% ±10 | 84 | 78% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 2.56% | 1.37% | 198 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 1,904.94–1,916.77 (-2.7%) | 2.3 | 3.4% | 22h | 1.7d ago · 85× | 38% ±12 | 54% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 39% ±12 | 68 | 11% ±3 | 38% ±12 | 59% ±22 | 67% ±31 | 2.2d | 2.75% | 1.81% | 360 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | short | 1,970.2 | 1,904.94 | 2,086.5 | expired | -0.31% |