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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-07 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH · 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,083.61–2,086.5 (+5.5%) | 5.6 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 2.1d ago · 97× | 16% ±7 | 49% ±12 | 5% ±6 | 46% ±12 | 62 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±7 | 32% ±16 | 51% ±26 | 6.4d | 2.25% | 1.72% | 580 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 2,051.17–2,083.61 (+3.9%) | 4.0 | 3.7% | 1.2d | 8.4d ago · 82× | 25% ±11 | 53% ±13 | 19% ±10 | 28% ±11 | 61 | 4% ±2 | 25% ±11 | 39% ±21 | 49% ±33 | > 7d | 2.06% | 1.88% | 377 → 9 | |
| 30D POC · 7D POC · 14D POC | 1,974.7–1,975.54 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.3% | 2.7d | 1.9d ago · 104× | 92% ±10 | 42% ±12 | 10% ±7 | 48% ±12 | 68 | 83% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±15 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 2.13% | 1.58% | 173 → 4 | |
| at post · 1,974.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 1,929.07 (-2.3%) | 2.3 | 3.3% | 21h | 1.6d ago · 85× | 45% ±13 | 59% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 68 | 15% ±4 | 44% ±13 | 70% ±20 | 77% ±29 | 1.3d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 351 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,916.77 (-2.9%) | 3.0 | 3.0% | 19h | 21.8d ago · 30× | 31% ±15 | 46% ±20 | 7% ±10 | 46% ±20 | 25 | 9% ±4 | 31% ±15 | 45% ±28 | 53% ±44 | 6.2d | 3.24% | 2.35% | 217 → 5 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,904.94 (-3.5%) | 3.6 | 2.0% | 9h | 1.6d ago · 59× | 28% ±11 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 45% ±15 | 44 | 6% ±2 | 28% ±11 | 49% ±21 | 64% ±31 | 3.1d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 370 → 9 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 1,974.39 | 1,929.07 | 2,086.19 | target | +1.89% |
| 14d | POC | short | 1,974.39 | 1,904.94 | 2,086.5 | expired | +1.89% |
| 30d | POC | short | 1,974.39 | 1,916.77 | 2,083.61 | expired | +1.89% |