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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-14 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH · 14D VAH | 2,085.32–2,085.6 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.3% | 1.1d | 2.3d ago · 97× | 87% ±14 | 52% ±12 | 4% ±4 | 45% ±12 | 65 | 75% ±7 | 87% ±14 | 92% ±20 | 94% ±26 | 1h | 2.34% | 1.57% | 128 → 3 | |
| at post · 2,084.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,081.31 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 4.0% | 1.3d | 6.2d ago · 38× | 98% ±10 | 39% ±21 | 4% ±9 | 57% ±22 | 20 | 90% ±9 | 98% ±10 | 98% ±16 | 98% | 1h | 2.08% | 1.76% | 46 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2,044.09–2,077.17 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 4.7% | 1.4d | 3.6d ago · 84× | 90% ±11 | 44% ±12 | 22% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 70 | 70% ±7 | 90% ±11 | 92% ±17 | 96% ±20 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.72% | 176 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,056.55–2,064.95 (-0.9%) | 0.8 | 6.0% | 1.7d | 1.9d ago · 106× | 81% ±11 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 88 | 62% ±6 | 81% ±11 | 88% ±16 | 93% ±19 | 2h | 2.22% | 1.44% | 290 → 7 | |
| 30D POC | 1,971.73 (-5.4%) | 4.4 | 9.5% | 3.9d | 1.9d ago · 72× | 32% ±14 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±14 | 57% ±27 | 78% ±33 | 2.3d | 2.73% | 1.25% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,949.03 (-6.5%) | 5.3 | 7.3% | 2.4d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 23% ±8 | 60% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 3% ±1 | 23% ±8 | 48% ±17 | 69% ±24 | 3.3d | 2.71% | 1.48% | 599 → 14 | |
| 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 1,932.45–1,935.43 (-7.1%) | 5.9 | 4.6% | 1.3d | 1.9d ago · 59× | 12% ±6 | 49% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±15 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 32% ±16 | 55% ±26 | 4.4d | 2.84% | 1.85% | 582 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,084.36 | 2,056.55 | 2,109.85 | expired | -0.12% |
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,084.36 | 2,064.95 | 2,112.63 | target | -0.12% |