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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,127.72 (+2.0%) | 3.9 | 0.8% | 5h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 31% ±10 | 51% ±12 | 4% ±5 | 44% ±12 | 65 | 4% ±2 | 31% ±10 | 48% ±19 | 73% ±25 | 3.3d | 2.36% | 1.69% | 512 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,088.06 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 1.4% | 12h | 2.2d ago · 70× | 85% ±19 | 52% ±15 | 2% ±4 | 46% ±15 | 43 | 73% ±9 | 86% ±18 | 89% ±27 | 92% ±37 | 1h | 2.31% | 1.39% | 90 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,086.83 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,081.31 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 15h | 6.1d ago · 38× | 97% ±11 | 38% ±21 | 8% ±12 | 54% ±21 | 21 | 81% ±10 | 97% ±11 | 97% ±20 | 97% | 1h | 1.91% | 1.62% | 62 → 1 | |
| HVN zone | 2,044.09–2,081.31 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 15h | 3.5d ago · 84× | 88% ±11 | 43% ±12 | 23% ±10 | 34% ±11 | 71 | 67% ±7 | 88% ±11 | 92% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.67% | 200 → 5 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,068.33–2,068.66 (-0.9%) | 1.7 | 2.6% | 19h | 1.9d ago · 106× | 60% ±15 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 88 | 32% ±6 | 60% ±15 | 74% ±24 | 86% ±28 | 12h | 2.22% | 1.44% | 238 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,003.55 (-4.0%) | 8.0 | 1.8% | 11h | 1.8d ago · 85× | 14% ±7 | 60% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 34% ±16 | 60% ±26 | 4.8d | 2.71% | 1.48% | 600 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 1,967.6 (-5.7%) | 11 | 3.6% | 1.4d | 1.9d ago · 72× | 4% ±6 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 4% ±6 | 16% ±18 | 38% ±36 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.25% | 295 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,948.41 (-6.6%) | 13 | 3.0% | 24h | 1.8d ago · 59× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±13 | 39% ±26 | > 7d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 543 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,932.45 (-7.4%) | 15 | 1.5% | 10h | 21.9d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±10 | 28% ±24 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 606 → 14 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,086.83 | 2,068.33 | 2,113.19 | stop | -4.00% |