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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-18 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,278.59 (+1.9%) | 1.9 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 48% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 67 | 22% ±5 | 48% ±14 | 67% ±24 | 86% ±25 | 1.2d | 2.35% | 1.69% | 278 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,236.48 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D VAH | 2,170.16 (-3.0%) | 2.9 | 0.7% | 3h | 12.7d ago · 55× | 51% ±22 | 55% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 40% ±16 | 37 | 11% ±6 | 51% ±22 | 70% ±34 | 81% ±44 | 1.0d | 2.15% | 1.91% | 119 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,108.58 (-5.7%) | 5.6 | 2.0% | 17h | 6.1d ago · 38× | 9% ±13 | 40% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 22 | 1% ±2 | 9% ±13 | 37% ±39 | 60% ±55 | 5.8d | 2.08% | 1.61% | 112 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 1,931.65–2,079.09 (-7.0%) | 6.9 | 3.5% | 1.2d | 3.5d ago · 84× | 12% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 72 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±10 | 27% ±23 | 43% ±40 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.65% | 265 → 6 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,067.15–2,073.46 (-7.3%) | 7.2 | 4.4% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 106× | 14% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 89 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 31% ±21 | 57% ±34 | 5.4d | 2.24% | 1.41% | 333 → 8 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,016.17 (-9.9%) | 9.7 | 3.6% | 23h | 1.8d ago · 85× | 8% ±6 | 60% ±12 | 8% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 69 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 27% ±15 | 52% ±26 | 6.3d | 2.71% | 1.48% | 571 → 14 | |
| 30D POC | 1,969.99 (-11.9%) | 12 | 6.9% | 2.9d | 1.9d ago · 72× | 3% ±5 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 14% ±16 | 36% ±36 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.25% | 308 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,944.96 (-13.0%) | 13 | 5.2% | 1.8d | 1.8d ago · 59× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±13 | 40% ±27 | > 7d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 566 → 13 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,908.06 (-14.7%) | 14 | 1.8% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 11% ±10 | 28% ±23 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 634 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | short | 2,236.48 | 2,073.46 | 2,325.83 | expired | +4.70% |