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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-20 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,278.3 (+6.2%) | 5.7 | 0.9% | 4h | 2.4d ago · 97× | 20% ±8 | 51% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 36% ±16 | 55% ±26 | 5.6d | 2.35% | 1.69% | 604 → 14 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,203.7 (+2.8%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 5h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 58% ±19 | 50% ±15 | 4% ±6 | 46% ±15 | 45 | 22% ±6 | 58% ±19 | 75% ±28 | 81% ±39 | 18h | 2.15% | 1.39% | 164 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,202.95–2,261.93 (+2.7%) | 2.5 | 0.9% | 5h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 42% ±19 | 59% ±17 | 12% ±11 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 11% ±5 | 41% ±19 | 57% ±32 | 72% ±44 | 1.6d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 157 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,144.5 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,138.07 (-0.3%) | 0.3 | 2.0% | 11h | 6.3d ago · 38× | 95% ±14 | 40% ±20 | 8% ±11 | 52% ±21 | 22 | 87% ±9 | 95% ±14 | 95% ±25 | 95% | 1h | 2.08% | 1.61% | 58 → 1 | |
| 7D POC | 2,110.57 (-1.6%) | 1.4 | 2.5% | 20h | 2.0d ago · 106× | 67% ±14 | 54% ±10 | 5% ±5 | 40% ±10 | 89 | 40% ±6 | 67% ±14 | 78% ±22 | 88% ±26 | 7h | 2.39% | 1.25% | 258 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,008.32–2,084.99 (-2.8%) | 2.5 | 2.7% | 22h | 3.7d ago · 84× | 50% ±15 | 44% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 72 | 13% ±4 | 49% ±15 | 72% ±24 | 83% ±30 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.65% | 247 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,066.6–2,067.15 (-3.6%) | 3.3 | 4.7% | 1.5d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 39% ±11 | 51% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 37% ±11 | 69 | 10% ±3 | 39% ±11 | 59% ±19 | 71% ±26 | 1.7d | 2.38% | 1.55% | 485 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 1,975.88 (-7.9%) | 7.2 | 5.9% | 2.7d | 2.0d ago · 72× | 15% ±10 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 2% ±2 | 15% ±10 | 35% ±24 | 59% ±36 | 5.3d | 2.73% | 1.25% | 273 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,954.55 (-8.9%) | 8.1 | 5.1% | 1.8d | 1.9d ago · 59× | 10% ±6 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 31% ±15 | 55% ±25 | 5.9d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 629 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,908.06 (-11.0%) | 10 | 1.8% | 9h | 22.1d ago · 30× | 3% ±4 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 16% ±12 | 36% ±24 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 636 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,144.5 | 2,374.51 | 1,975.88 | expired | +0.37% |