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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-20 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,430 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0032), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.24 to 0.38) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7D VAH | 2,278.3 (+6.5%) | 6.2 | 0.9% | 3h | 2.2d ago · 97× | 16% ±7 | 51% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 67 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±7 | 32% ±15 | 50% ±25 | 6.9d | 2.35% | 1.69% | 636 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,203.7 (+3.0%) | 2.8 | 0.8% | 4h | 2.2d ago · 70× | 54% ±18 | 51% ±14 | 4% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 46 | 20% ±6 | 53% ±18 | 70% ±28 | 79% ±40 | 22h | 2.23% | 1.36% | 182 → 4 | |
| LVN zone | 2,202.95–2,261.93 (+2.9%) | 2.8 | 0.9% | 5h | 11.7d ago · 49× | 39% ±18 | 59% ±17 | 12% ±11 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 10% ±5 | 38% ±18 | 52% ±31 | 66% ±46 | 2.0d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 174 → 4 | |
| 7D POC | 2,188.74 (+2.3%) | 2.2 | 1.6% | 9h | 2.0d ago · 104× | 52% ±17 | 51% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 71 | 15% ±5 | 51% ±17 | 68% ±26 | 77% ±37 | 23h | 2.28% | 1.59% | 212 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,143.97 (+0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.2% | 15h | 20.3d ago · 44× | 91% ±17 | 45% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 69% ±11 | 91% ±17 | 94% ±23 | 99% ±17 | 1h | 2.07% | 1.73% | 65 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,139.96 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,008.32–2,084.99 (-2.6%) | 2.5 | 2.6% | 21h | 3.5d ago · 84× | 51% ±15 | 44% ±11 | 23% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 72 | 14% ±4 | 51% ±15 | 73% ±23 | 84% ±29 | 1.0d | 1.92% | 1.65% | 251 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D VAL | 2,066.6–2,067.15 (-3.4%) | 3.2 | 4.5% | 1.5d | 1.8d ago · 85× | 38% ±11 | 51% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 37% ±11 | 69 | 9% ±3 | 38% ±11 | 60% ±19 | 71% ±26 | 1.7d | 2.38% | 1.55% | 488 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 1,969.99 (-7.9%) | 7.6 | 5.6% | 2.5d | 1.9d ago · 72× | 12% ±9 | 58% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 32% ±12 | 56 | 2% ±1 | 12% ±9 | 31% ±23 | 56% ±37 | 5.8d | 2.73% | 1.25% | 289 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 1,954.55 (-8.7%) | 8.3 | 4.8% | 1.7d | 1.8d ago · 59× | 10% ±6 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±6 | 30% ±15 | 54% ±25 | 6.0d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 626 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,908.06 (-10.8%) | 10 | 1.7% | 9h | 21.9d ago · 30× | 4% ±4 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±0 | 4% ±3 | 16% ±12 | 36% ±24 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 648 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,139.96 | 1,969.99 | 2,186.43 | expired | -0.79% |