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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-24 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,202.95–2,261.93 (+2.8%) | 1.9 | 1.2% | 7h | 11.6d ago · 49× | 47% ±20 | 59% ±17 | 12% ±11 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 15% ±6 | 46% ±20 | 62% ±34 | 81% ±38 | 1.1d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 151 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,195.71–2,209.39 (+2.5%) | 1.7 | 1.9% | 11h | 2.0d ago · 97× | 55% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 21% ±5 | 55% ±14 | 70% ±22 | 86% ±26 | 22h | 2.30% | 1.55% | 308 → 7 | |
| 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,147.38–2,161.66 (+0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.9d ago · 104× | 90% ±10 | 49% ±12 | 8% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 72 | 75% ±6 | 90% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 2.16% | 1.57% | 203 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,142 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,014.22–2,090.89 (-2.4%) | 1.6 | 3.8% | 1.3d | 3.4d ago · 84× | 64% ±15 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 73 | 29% ±6 | 63% ±15 | 80% ±22 | 90% ±24 | 13h | 1.92% | 1.67% | 236 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 30D POC · 7D VAL | 2,049.93–2,068.35 (-3.4%) | 2.3 | 7.1% | 2.4d | 1.6d ago · 85× | 44% ±11 | 54% ±12 | 11% ±7 | 35% ±11 | 71 | 13% ±3 | 44% ±11 | 66% ±18 | 75% ±26 | 1.4d | 2.51% | 1.48% | 468 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,028.44 (-5.3%) | 3.6 | 5.1% | 1.7d | 1.6d ago · 59× | 27% ±11 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±11 | 48% ±20 | 64% ±30 | 3.4d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 406 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,925.75 (-10.1%) | 6.9 | 3.0% | 22h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 6% ±5 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±5 | 22% ±15 | 39% ±28 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 509 → 12 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,142 | 2,049.93 | 2,209.39 | expired | -0.87% |