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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-24 08:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,202.95–2,261.93 (+2.3%) | 1.7 | 1.1% | 6h | 11.6d ago · 49× | 50% ±20 | 59% ±17 | 12% ±11 | 29% ±16 | 31 | 20% ±6 | 49% ±19 | 63% ±32 | 80% ±39 | 1.0d | 4.53% | 1.26% | 155 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH · 7D VAH | 2,195.84–2,209.22 (+1.9%) | 1.4 | 1.8% | 11h | 2.0d ago · 97× | 56% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 5% ±5 | 44% ±12 | 67 | 29% ±5 | 56% ±14 | 71% ±22 | 86% ±26 | 20h | 2.30% | 1.55% | 282 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,161.66 (+0.4%) | 0.3 | 2.9% | 22h | 20.1d ago · 44× | 91% ±17 | 44% ±18 | 13% ±12 | 44% ±18 | 29 | 71% ±10 | 91% ±15 | 94% ±24 | 97% ±22 | 1h | 1.95% | 1.61% | 77 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,153.88 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,114.48–2,149.87 (-0.2%) | 0.1 | 4.3% | 1.9d | 3.3d ago · 84× | 91% ±11 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±10 | 33% ±11 | 73 | 77% ±7 | 91% ±11 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±18 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.67% | 161 → 4 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,143.88–2,148.36 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.9d | 1.7d ago · 106× | 89% ±10 | 50% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 91 | 76% ±5 | 89% ±10 | 92% ±14 | 95% ±17 | 1h | 2.28% | 1.43% | 237 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D POC | 2,064.35–2,068.49 (-4.0%) | 2.9 | 6.7% | 2.3d | 1.6d ago · 85× | 42% ±11 | 59% ±11 | 9% ±7 | 32% ±11 | 72 | 11% ±3 | 42% ±11 | 65% ±18 | 74% ±26 | 1.4d | 2.78% | 1.37% | 463 → 11 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,028.69 (-5.8%) | 4.2 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 1.6d ago · 59× | 24% ±10 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±10 | 47% ±19 | 63% ±29 | 3.5d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 460 → 11 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,925.75 (-10.6%) | 7.7 | 2.8% | 21h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 1% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 20% ±14 | 37% ±26 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 556 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,153.88 | 2,064.35 | 2,204.13 | expired | -0.99% |