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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-25 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.85–2,261.93 (+2.0%) | 2.4 | 0.4% | 2h | 11.6d ago · 49× | 38% ±18 | 60% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 29% ±16 | 32 | 11% ±5 | 40% ±18 | 60% ±30 | 77% ±41 | 1.8d | 4.48% | 1.24% | 176 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,197.28 (+1.5%) | 1.8 | 1.1% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 70× | 68% ±17 | 52% ±14 | 4% ±6 | 44% ±14 | 47 | 30% ±7 | 69% ±17 | 79% ±25 | 87% ±33 | 11h | 2.31% | 1.34% | 172 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,188.32 (+1.0%) | 1.3 | 1.9% | 10h | 2.1d ago · 97× | 63% ±14 | 51% ±12 | 6% ±6 | 43% ±12 | 67 | 41% ±6 | 63% ±14 | 81% ±20 | 91% ±23 | 7h | 2.35% | 1.69% | 262 → 6 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,167.56 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.2% | 14h | 20.1d ago · 44× | 92% ±16 | 47% ±18 | 12% ±11 | 41% ±17 | 31 | 75% ±10 | 92% ±15 | 95% ±22 | 99% ±16 | 1h | 2.19% | 1.61% | 74 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,165.77 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,114.48–2,161.66 (-0.2%) | 0.2 | 2.5% | 20h | 3.3d ago · 84× | 90% ±11 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±11 | 75 | 74% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 93% ±16 | 96% ±19 | 1h | 1.99% | 1.67% | 179 → 4 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,143.69–2,145.05 (-1.0%) | 1.2 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.7d ago · 106× | 76% ±12 | 49% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 41% ±10 | 92 | 55% ±6 | 76% ±12 | 84% ±17 | 91% ±22 | 3h | 2.23% | 1.47% | 305 → 7 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,110.23 (-2.6%) | 3.1 | 2.4% | 19h | 1.6d ago · 85× | 38% ±11 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 72 | 9% ±3 | 37% ±11 | 63% ±18 | 73% ±25 | 1.6d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 486 → 12 | |
| 30D POC | 2,064.35 (-4.7%) | 5.7 | 4.1% | 1.3d | 1.7d ago · 72× | 19% ±11 | 57% ±13 | 10% ±8 | 33% ±12 | 57 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 41% ±24 | 63% ±36 | 4.6d | 2.85% | 1.26% | 285 → 7 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,045.74 (-5.5%) | 6.7 | 3.1% | 20h | 1.6d ago · 59× | 13% ±6 | 50% ±15 | 6% ±7 | 44% ±14 | 45 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 35% ±16 | 60% ±25 | 5.0d | 2.55% | 1.79% | 647 → 15 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,937.55 (-10.5%) | 13 | 1.7% | 12h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 48% ±19 | 7% ±10 | 45% ±19 | 26 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 12% ±10 | 29% ±22 | > 7d | 3.34% | 1.95% | 693 → 17 | |
| LVN zone | 1,866.77–1,896.26 (-12.4%) | 15 | 0.6% | 4h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 0% ±2 | 50% ±18 | 15% ±12 | 35% ±17 | 31 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±8 | 9% ±23 | > 7d | 2.71% | 1.82% | 260 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,165.77 | 2,064.35 | 2,208.96 | target | +4.71% |