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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-03-31 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.23–2,256.22 (+5.6%) | 4.6 | 0.7% | 3h | 11.5d ago · 49× | 24% ±14 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 4% ±3 | 24% ±14 | 42% ±28 | 62% ±43 | 4.8d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 222 → 5 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,201.15 (+5.3%) | 4.3 | 1.3% | 7h | 2.0d ago · 70× | 24% ±11 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 43% ±22 | 65% ±31 | 3.9d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 358 → 9 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,179.44 (+4.3%) | 3.5 | 3.1% | 16h | 20.0d ago · 44× | 32% ±16 | 49% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 40% ±17 | 32 | 5% ±3 | 32% ±16 | 54% ±29 | 72% ±39 | 2.2d | 2.21% | 1.57% | 193 → 5 | |
| 14D POC | 2,149.47 (+2.8%) | 2.3 | 5.0% | 2.1d | 1.8d ago · 79× | 52% ±21 | 38% ±12 | 13% ±8 | 50% ±13 | 61 | 19% ±7 | 52% ±21 | 65% ±35 | 75% ±49 | 23h | 2.08% | 1.66% | 133 → 3 | |
| HVN zone | 2,117.05–2,160.24 (+1.3%) | 1.0 | 4.5% | 1.3d | 8.3d ago · 82× | 76% ±13 | 52% ±12 | 19% ±9 | 29% ±11 | 66 | 49% ±6 | 76% ±13 | 85% ±19 | 87% ±27 | 5h | 1.95% | 1.87% | 254 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,090.41 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,025.88–2,088.26 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.2d | 3.3d ago · 84× | 92% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 78 | 79% ±6 | 92% ±10 | 94% ±14 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.72% | 171 → 4 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,084.14 (-0.3%) | 0.2 | 4.5% | 1.4d | 2.0d ago · 65× | 88% ±19 | 41% ±15 | 7% ±7 | 52% ±15 | 43 | 78% ±10 | 88% ±19 | 88% ±32 | 91% ±40 | 1h | 1.70% | 2.12% | 63 → 2 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,066.67–2,067.01 (-1.1%) | 0.9 | 7.6% | 2.4d | 1.6d ago · 106× | 83% ±10 | 54% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±10 | 94 | 63% ±5 | 82% ±10 | 89% ±15 | 93% ±18 | 2h | 2.46% | 1.32% | 322 → 8 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,044.04 (-2.2%) | 1.8 | 5.5% | 1.4d | 1.5d ago · 59× | 46% ±15 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 48 | 20% ±5 | 47% ±15 | 60% ±27 | 70% ±37 | 1.5d | 2.51% | 2.04% | 242 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL · 7D VAL | 1,978.71–1,982.69 (-5.2%) | 4.2 | 4.5% | 1.8d | 1.5d ago · 85× | 27% ±9 | 58% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 34% ±11 | 74 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±9 | 50% ±17 | 64% ±24 | 3.9d | 2.91% | 1.48% | 611 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAH | long | 2,090.41 | 2,195.84 | 2,067.01 | expired | +2.61% |
| 30d | POC | long | 2,090.41 | 2,179.44 | 1,982.69 | expired | +2.61% |