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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-02 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,431 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0038), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.18 to 0.39) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+6.8%) | 6.6 | 0.6% | 2h | 11.9d ago · 49× | 16% ±11 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 2% ±2 | 16% ±11 | 34% ±24 | 49% ±37 | > 7d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 276 → 7 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,189.33 (+5.9%) | 5.7 | 2.3% | 12h | 20.4d ago · 44× | 13% ±8 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±8 | 31% ±20 | 53% ±33 | 6.4d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 368 → 9 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,176.39 (+5.3%) | 5.1 | 2.6% | 13h | 2.3d ago · 70× | 16% ±8 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 34% ±18 | 55% ±29 | 6.2d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 468 → 11 | |
| 14D POC | 2,146.08 (+3.8%) | 3.7 | 4.9% | 1.6d | 2.2d ago · 79× | 19% ±13 | 38% ±12 | 12% ±8 | 49% ±12 | 62 | 5% ±3 | 19% ±13 | 35% ±27 | 47% ±44 | > 7d | 2.09% | 1.64% | 216 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,107.87–2,160.58 (+2.0%) | 1.9 | 3.7% | 1.1d | 8.7d ago · 82× | 55% ±15 | 51% ±12 | 20% ±10 | 29% ±11 | 67 | 18% ±5 | 54% ±14 | 67% ±24 | 72% ±33 | 20h | 1.95% | 1.88% | 275 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,079.55 (+0.6%) | 0.6 | 4.8% | 1.6d | 2.4d ago · 97× | 77% ±14 | 53% ±12 | 6% ±5 | 42% ±12 | 69 | 61% ±7 | 77% ±14 | 90% ±18 | 94% ±21 | 2h | 2.35% | 1.69% | 202 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,067.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC · 7D POC | 2,057.64–2,067.15 (-0.0%) | 0.0 | 6.9% | 2.1d | 2.0d ago · 106× | 89% ±9 | 54% ±10 | 7% ±5 | 39% ±10 | 94 | 74% ±5 | 89% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 96% ±16 | 1h | 2.46% | 1.32% | 262 → 6 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,044.6 (-1.1%) | 1.1 | 4.9% | 1.3d | 1.9d ago · 59× | 61% ±16 | 48% ±14 | 6% ±7 | 46% ±14 | 49 | 41% ±7 | 61% ±16 | 70% ±26 | 76% ±38 | 9h | 2.55% | 1.79% | 215 → 5 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,012.04 (-2.7%) | 2.6 | 2.2% | 15h | 22.0d ago · 30× | 32% ±15 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 9% ±4 | 31% ±15 | 50% ±28 | 57% ±43 | 3.2d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 213 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 1,980.37 (-4.2%) | 4.1 | 3.0% | 1.3d | 1.9d ago · 85× | 32% ±9 | 61% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±11 | 74 | 6% ±2 | 32% ±9 | 58% ±17 | 72% ±23 | 2.1d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 612 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | POC | long | 2,067.29 | 2,189.33 | 2,012.04 | expired | -0.75% |