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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-05 16:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,208.49–2,256.41 (+7.7%) | 15 | 0.3% | 57m | 11.4d ago · 49× | 1% ±3 | 61% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 28% ±15 | 33 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±3 | 7% ±10 | 15% ±22 | > 7d | 4.53% | 1.21% | 436 → 10 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,189.33 (+6.7%) | 13 | 1.2% | 6h | 19.9d ago · 44× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±17 | 11% ±11 | 39% ±17 | 33 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 13% ±11 | 35% ±23 | > 7d | 2.24% | 1.53% | 656 → 16 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,147.4 (+4.7%) | 9.3 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.8d ago · 70× | 7% ±4 | 53% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 43% ±14 | 48 | 1% ±1 | 7% ±4 | 21% ±12 | 38% ±22 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.33% | 772 → 18 | |
| HVN zone | 2,107.87–2,165.37 (+2.8%) | 5.5 | 1.7% | 12h | 8.2d ago · 82× | 16% ±8 | 51% ±12 | 21% ±10 | 28% ±11 | 68 | 2% ±1 | 16% ±8 | 32% ±18 | 50% ±30 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.91% | 444 → 11 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,098 (+2.3%) | 4.5 | 1.3% | 10h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 26% ±9 | 52% ±12 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±12 | 70 | 3% ±1 | 26% ±9 | 43% ±17 | 65% ±25 | 3.8d | 2.32% | 1.68% | 587 → 14 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,053.02–2,057.56 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 3.5% | 1.6d | 1.7d ago · 104× | 91% ±9 | 43% ±11 | 11% ±7 | 47% ±11 | 77 | 78% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 97% ±16 | 1h | 2.10% | 1.55% | 221 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,051.24 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,012.04–2,014.96 (-1.8%) | 3.5 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 29% ±9 | 55% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 38% ±11 | 75 | 7% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 51% ±18 | 65% ±26 | 2.3d | 2.79% | 1.59% | 552 → 13 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,051.24 | 2,014.96 | 2,098 | stop | -4.29% |