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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-10 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,277.96–2,304.92 (+3.8%) | 4.0 | 1.0% | 3h | 11.4d ago · 49× | 27% ±14 | 59% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 5% ±3 | 27% ±14 | 46% ±27 | 67% ±38 | 3.8d | 4.48% | 1.24% | 242 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,197.28 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.3% | 12h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 86% ±14 | 53% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 41% ±11 | 73 | 74% ±7 | 86% ±14 | 93% ±18 | 94% ±23 | 1h | 2.35% | 1.69% | 150 → 4 | |
| at post · 2,194.62 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,192.61 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.9% | 17h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 97% ±10 | 38% ±19 | 10% ±12 | 52% ±19 | 26 | 88% ±8 | 97% ±10 | 97% ±16 | 99% ±17 | 1h | 1.97% | 1.61% | 67 → 2 | |
| HVN zone | 2,102.76–2,165.65 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 24h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 70% ±14 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 38% ±6 | 70% ±13 | 83% ±19 | 91% ±23 | 7h | 1.99% | 1.64% | 269 → 6 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,165.33 (-1.3%) | 1.4 | 3.7% | 1.0d | 12.3d ago · 55× | 76% ±19 | 55% ±16 | 5% ±7 | 40% ±15 | 39 | 34% ±8 | 77% ±18 | 88% ±24 | 90% ±34 | 9h | 2.15% | 2.12% | 127 → 3 | |
| 30D POC · 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,052.16–2,055.59 (-6.3%) | 6.7 | 6.3% | 2.8d | 1.5d ago · 106× | 17% ±10 | 51% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 98 | 2% ±2 | 17% ±10 | 35% ±21 | 63% ±32 | 4.9d | 2.35% | 1.44% | 362 → 9 | |
| 7D VAL · 30D VAL | 2,030.88–2,033.23 (-7.4%) | 7.8 | 2.9% | 18h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 9% ±5 | 58% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 34% ±11 | 75 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 26% ±14 | 46% ±24 | 5.3d | 2.92% | 1.47% | 679 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,000.47 (-8.8%) | 9.4 | 1.5% | 21h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 8% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±5 | 27% ±14 | 49% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 688 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | long | 2,194.62 | 2,356.35 | 2,055.59 | expired | +2.06% |