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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-12 12:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVN zone | 2,282.45–2,300.42 (+4.1%) | 4.5 | 1.0% | 4h | 11.5d ago · 49× | 23% ±13 | 59% ±17 | 11% ±10 | 30% ±15 | 34 | 4% ±2 | 24% ±13 | 47% ±26 | 67% ±38 | 3.8d | 4.48% | 1.24% | 258 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,259.68 (+3.0%) | 3.3 | 1.4% | 6h | 2.0d ago · 97× | 37% ±10 | 52% ±11 | 6% ±6 | 42% ±11 | 74 | 6% ±2 | 37% ±10 | 56% ±18 | 77% ±24 | 1.8d | 2.32% | 1.76% | 495 → 12 | |
| 7D POC | 2,239.81 (+2.1%) | 2.3 | 2.5% | 22h | 1.8d ago · 104× | 48% ±16 | 50% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 43% ±11 | 79 | 13% ±4 | 48% ±16 | 65% ±26 | 75% ±38 | 1.2d | 2.16% | 1.67% | 228 → 5 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,210.58 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.2% | 15h | 20.0d ago · 44× | 82% ±17 | 46% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 36 | 60% ±9 | 82% ±17 | 86% ±26 | 95% ±24 | 2h | 2.07% | 1.73% | 124 → 3 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,196.22 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.7% | 17h | 1.9d ago · 70× | 86% ±16 | 51% ±14 | 4% ±5 | 45% ±14 | 50 | 74% ±9 | 86% ±16 | 90% ±24 | 93% ±35 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.33% | 100 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,193.39 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,179.13–2,188.11 (-0.2%) | 0.3 | 3.7% | 24h | 3.3d ago · 84× | 91% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 21% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 83 | 72% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 93% ±15 | 96% ±17 | 1h | 1.99% | 1.64% | 208 → 5 | |
| 30D POC | 2,140.94 (-2.4%) | 2.6 | 5.2% | 1.4d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 54% ±17 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 14% ±5 | 54% ±17 | 74% ±26 | 81% ±34 | 22h | 2.73% | 1.43% | 192 → 5 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,119.06 (-3.4%) | 3.7 | 4.3% | 24h | 1.5d ago · 85× | 34% ±9 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 31% ±10 | 75 | 7% ±2 | 34% ±9 | 58% ±17 | 70% ±24 | 2.0d | 2.73% | 1.44% | 594 → 14 | |
| 14D POC | 2,052.61 (-6.4%) | 7.0 | 5.0% | 2.5d | 1.6d ago · 85× | 15% ±9 | 45% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 40% ±11 | 74 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 30% ±20 | 60% ±32 | 5.7d | 2.04% | 1.68% | 370 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,030.88 (-7.4%) | 8.1 | 2.1% | 13h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 5% ±4 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 5% ±4 | 18% ±12 | 35% ±23 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 657 → 16 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,015.23 (-8.1%) | 8.9 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.5d ago · 59× | 9% ±5 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 1% ±1 | 9% ±5 | 27% ±14 | 50% ±24 | > 7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 704 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,193.39 | 2,052.61 | 2,228.79 | expired | +0.09% |