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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-19 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,429 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0035), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.26 to 0.48) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,451.4 (+7.5%) | 10 | 0.3% | 48m | 1.9d ago · 70× | 6% ±4 | 49% ±14 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±14 | 52 | 1% ±1 | 6% ±4 | 21% ±12 | 36% ±22 | > 7d | 2.23% | 1.33% | 769 → 18 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,397.3 (+5.2%) | 7.1 | 0.4% | 1h | 2.0d ago · 97× | 12% ±6 | 50% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 77 | 1% ±1 | 12% ±6 | 28% ±14 | 43% ±24 | > 7d | 2.29% | 1.94% | 680 → 16 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,332.19–2,333.07 (+2.3%) | 3.2 | 2.0% | 17h | 1.8d ago · 104× | 30% ±13 | 43% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 47% ±11 | 81 | 7% ±3 | 30% ±13 | 47% ±25 | 61% ±39 | 4.1d | 2.11% | 1.69% | 267 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,290.23 (+0.5%) | 0.7 | 0.6% | 3h | 5.8d ago · 56× | 87% ±17 | 48% ±15 | 7% ±8 | 45% ±15 | 41 | 71% ±9 | 87% ±17 | 91% ±25 | 94% ±33 | 1h | 3.09% | 1.92% | 96 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,279.38 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D VAH | 2,258.21 (-0.9%) | 1.3 | 0.8% | 5h | 5.9d ago · 38× | 85% ±19 | 41% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 64% ±10 | 85% ±19 | 92% ±24 | 95% ±31 | 2h | 2.04% | 1.59% | 86 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,198.13 (-3.6%) | 4.9 | 1.9% | 14h | 1.5d ago · 59× | 20% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±1 | 20% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 63% ±25 | 4.2d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 572 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 2,173.83–2,194.93 (-3.7%) | 5.1 | 2.2% | 17h | 3.3d ago · 84× | 31% ±12 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 6% ±2 | 31% ±12 | 50% ±23 | 69% ±32 | 3.0d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 324 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-9.8%) | 14 | 4.6% | 2.0d | 1.6d ago · 72× | 2% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 26% ±29 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 363 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,020.91 (-11.3%) | 16 | 1.3% | 11h | 21.7d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 702 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | short | 2,279.38 | 2,172.31 | 2,332.19 | stop | -2.50% |