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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-20 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,390.81 (+2.3%) | 2.5 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.9d ago · 70× | 52% ±17 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 19% ±5 | 52% ±17 | 68% ±27 | 80% ±35 | 23h | 2.31% | 1.32% | 205 → 5 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,379.97 (+1.9%) | 2.0 | 1.2% | 5h | 1.9d ago · 97× | 48% ±13 | 50% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 77 | 17% ±4 | 48% ±13 | 67% ±22 | 85% ±25 | 1.1d | 2.29% | 1.94% | 324 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,336.29 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,331.96–2,333.72 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 2.8% | 23h | 1.5d ago · 106× | 90% ±9 | 51% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 40% ±10 | 102 | 79% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 94% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 2.24% | 1.44% | 239 → 6 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,298.23 (-1.6%) | 1.8 | 1.4% | 8h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 50% ±13 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±10 | 76 | 25% ±5 | 50% ±13 | 72% ±21 | 79% ±28 | 1.0d | 2.72% | 1.46% | 330 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,268.75–2,279.3 (-2.4%) | 2.7 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 47× | 46% ±18 | 53% ±17 | 13% ±11 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 14% ±5 | 46% ±18 | 61% ±30 | 64% ±47 | 1.3d | 2.71% | 1.82% | 179 → 4 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,263.48 (-3.1%) | 3.4 | 1.1% | 5h | 5.8d ago · 38× | 34% ±22 | 41% ±18 | 9% ±11 | 50% ±18 | 29 | 5% ±4 | 35% ±22 | 68% ±37 | 83% ±43 | 1.5d | 2.04% | 1.59% | 110 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,200.06 (-5.8%) | 6.4 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 13% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 2% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 36% ±15 | 59% ±24 | 4.9d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 687 → 16 | |
| HVN zone | 2,173.83–2,194.93 (-6.1%) | 6.6 | 2.7% | 21h | 3.2d ago · 84× | 19% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 3% ±2 | 18% ±10 | 32% ±21 | 51% ±35 | 6.1d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 328 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-12.0%) | 13 | 5.8% | 2.6d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 2% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 7% ±11 | 27% ±29 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 379 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,005.09 (-14.2%) | 15 | 1.3% | 16h | 21.6d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 709 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,336.29 | 2,379.97 | 2,298.23 | stop | -0.98% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,336.29 | 2,390.81 | 2,200.06 | expired | -0.98% |