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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-21 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,390.81 (+3.4%) | 3.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 70× | 33% ±14 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±3 | 33% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 69% ±34 | 2.8d | 2.31% | 1.32% | 281 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,378.68 (+2.8%) | 3.1 | 1.3% | 6h | 1.8d ago · 97× | 40% ±11 | 50% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 77 | 7% ±2 | 40% ±11 | 59% ±19 | 79% ±23 | 1.5d | 2.29% | 1.94% | 485 → 12 | |
| HVN zone | 2,332.03–2,337.3 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.9% | 24h | 8.1d ago · 82× | 78% ±13 | 51% ±12 | 21% ±9 | 29% ±11 | 70 | 52% ±6 | 78% ±13 | 87% ±18 | 88% ±26 | 4h | 1.95% | 1.99% | 250 → 6 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,331.96–2,332.9 (+0.8%) | 0.9 | 2.9% | 24h | 1.6d ago · 104× | 87% ±9 | 44% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 82 | 66% ±5 | 87% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 95% ±15 | 2h | 2.12% | 1.66% | 325 → 8 | |
| at post · 2,313.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,297.76 (-0.7%) | 0.7 | 1.4% | 9h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 72% ±14 | 62% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±10 | 76 | 52% ±6 | 73% ±14 | 85% ±20 | 88% ±26 | 4h | 2.72% | 1.46% | 238 → 6 | |
| LVN zone | 2,268.75–2,279.3 (-1.5%) | 1.6 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 62% ±20 | 53% ±17 | 13% ±11 | 34% ±16 | 35 | 28% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 73% ±31 | 77% ±48 | 11h | 2.71% | 1.82% | 144 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,263.48 (-2.1%) | 2.4 | 1.1% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 58% ±26 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 17% ±8 | 57% ±25 | 84% ±32 | 89% ±43 | 18h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 88 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,204.12 (-4.7%) | 5.2 | 2.2% | 14h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 18% ±7 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 2% ±1 | 18% ±7 | 41% ±17 | 61% ±25 | 4.5d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 610 → 15 | |
| HVN zone | 2,173.83–2,194.93 (-5.1%) | 5.6 | 2.7% | 21h | 3.1d ago · 84× | 26% ±12 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 5% ±2 | 26% ±12 | 43% ±22 | 62% ±34 | 4.3d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 337 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-11.1%) | 12 | 5.6% | 2.6d | 1.4d ago · 72× | 2% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 9% ±12 | 28% ±28 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 400 → 10 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,994.55 (-13.8%) | 15 | 2.0% | 21h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 9% ±9 | 24% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 733 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,313.08 | 2,332.9 | 2,283.19 | target | +2.15% |