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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-21 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,428 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0001 to 0.0036), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.21 to 0.44) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,386.99 (+3.2%) | 3.7 | 0.8% | 3h | 1.8d ago · 70× | 33% ±13 | 50% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 45% ±13 | 53 | 7% ±3 | 32% ±13 | 52% ±24 | 69% ±34 | 2.8d | 2.31% | 1.32% | 287 → 7 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,363.77 (+2.2%) | 2.5 | 1.9% | 13h | 1.8d ago · 97× | 45% ±12 | 50% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 77 | 10% ±3 | 45% ±11 | 64% ±19 | 83% ±23 | 1.2d | 2.29% | 1.94% | 431 → 10 | |
| 14D POC · 7D POC | 2,315.37–2,315.86 (+0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.2% | 1.1d | 1.6d ago · 104× | 94% ±8 | 45% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 46% ±11 | 83 | 82% ±5 | 94% ±8 | 96% ±11 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.63% | 230 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,313.31 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 7D VAL | 2,291.37 (-0.9%) | 1.1 | 1.4% | 7h | 1.4d ago · 85× | 65% ±13 | 63% ±11 | 8% ±6 | 30% ±10 | 77 | 46% ±6 | 66% ±13 | 81% ±19 | 86% ±26 | 6h | 2.71% | 1.44% | 298 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,268.75–2,279.3 (-1.5%) | 1.7 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 47× | 61% ±20 | 54% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 36 | 27% ±7 | 62% ±19 | 73% ±31 | 77% ±48 | 13h | 2.77% | 1.80% | 144 → 3 | |
| 30D VAH | 2,263.48 (-2.2%) | 2.5 | 1.0% | 5h | 5.7d ago · 38× | 53% ±25 | 42% ±18 | 9% ±10 | 48% ±18 | 30 | 13% ±7 | 52% ±24 | 80% ±35 | 86% ±48 | 22h | 2.14% | 1.55% | 94 → 2 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,215.79 (-4.2%) | 4.9 | 2.3% | 17h | 1.4d ago · 59× | 20% ±8 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 3% ±1 | 19% ±8 | 43% ±17 | 63% ±25 | 4.3d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 582 → 14 | |
| HVN zone | 2,179.11–2,194.93 (-5.1%) | 6.0 | 2.5% | 20h | 3.1d ago · 84× | 24% ±11 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 5% ±2 | 24% ±11 | 40% ±22 | 59% ±34 | 4.8d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 350 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-11.2%) | 13 | 5.2% | 2.4d | 1.5d ago · 72× | 2% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 1% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 8% ±11 | 27% ±29 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 388 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,984 (-14.2%) | 17 | 1.6% | 13h | 21.5d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 8% ±9 | 22% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 685 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | VAL | long | 2,313.31 | 2,315.86 | 2,278.34 | target | +3.36% |