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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-23 20:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,420.23 (+4.1%) | 5.0 | 0.7% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 17% ±8 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 2% ±1 | 17% ±8 | 37% ±18 | 58% ±28 | 5.4d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 486 → 12 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,378.68 (+2.3%) | 2.9 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 43% ±11 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 78 | 8% ±2 | 43% ±11 | 62% ±19 | 82% ±23 | 1.3d | 2.28% | 1.99% | 475 → 11 | |
| at post · 2,324.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC · 7D POC · 30D VAH | 2,310.94–2,322.79 (-0.1%) | 0.1 | 3.9% | 1.3d | 1.2d ago · 106× | 90% ±9 | 49% ±10 | 9% ±6 | 41% ±9 | 104 | 76% ±5 | 90% ±9 | 93% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 2.22% | 1.46% | 280 → 7 | |
| LVN zone | 2,258.21–2,284.57 (-1.7%) | 2.1 | 1.2% | 7h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 54% ±19 | 55% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 20% ±6 | 55% ±19 | 70% ±30 | 73% ±43 | 19h | 2.83% | 1.78% | 162 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,280.62–2,280.72 (-1.9%) | 2.3 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.1d ago · 85× | 40% ±12 | 57% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±11 | 78 | 14% ±3 | 40% ±12 | 63% ±20 | 72% ±28 | 1.8d | 2.64% | 1.59% | 401 → 10 | |
| HVN zone | 2,179.11–2,194.93 (-5.6%) | 6.8 | 2.4% | 19h | 2.9d ago · 84× | 15% ±9 | 45% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 33% ±10 | 84 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±9 | 28% ±20 | 47% ±35 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.63% | 338 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-11.6%) | 14 | 4.4% | 2.1d | 1.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±3 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±3 | 6% ±10 | 24% ±28 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 390 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,978.73 (-14.9%) | 18 | 0.9% | 5h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 2% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±3 | 7% ±8 | 20% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 659 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | long | 2,324.07 | 2,378.68 | 2,280.72 | expired | +0.05% |
| 14d | POC | long | 2,324.07 | 2,420.23 | 2,280.62 | expired | +0.05% |