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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-24 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14D VAH | 2,408.6 (+4.5%) | 6.0 | 0.8% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 13% ±7 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±6 | 32% ±16 | 52% ±26 | 6.7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 600 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,378.68 (+3.2%) | 4.3 | 1.4% | 6h | 1.6d ago · 97× | 29% ±9 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 78 | 4% ±2 | 29% ±9 | 47% ±17 | 69% ±23 | 3.5d | 2.28% | 1.99% | 609 → 15 | |
| 30D VAH · 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,310.94–2,322.79 (+0.3%) | 0.4 | 3.2% | 24h | 1.4d ago · 104× | 88% ±9 | 45% ±11 | 10% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 84 | 67% ±5 | 88% ±9 | 92% ±13 | 96% ±15 | 1h | 2.09% | 1.65% | 307 → 7 | |
| at post · 2,304.89 | |||||||||||||||||||
| LVN zone | 2,258.21–2,284.57 (-0.9%) | 1.2 | 1.1% | 6h | 1.1d ago · 47× | 70% ±18 | 55% ±16 | 13% ±11 | 33% ±15 | 37 | 41% ±8 | 70% ±18 | 81% ±27 | 85% ±35 | 7h | 2.83% | 1.78% | 151 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,280.62–2,280.72 (-1.0%) | 1.4 | 0.9% | 7h | 1.1d ago · 85× | 57% ±13 | 57% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±11 | 78 | 33% ±5 | 57% ±13 | 72% ±21 | 78% ±29 | 13h | 2.64% | 1.59% | 319 → 8 | |
| HVN zone | 2,179.11–2,194.93 (-4.8%) | 6.4 | 2.2% | 17h | 2.9d ago · 84× | 19% ±10 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 3% ±2 | 19% ±10 | 32% ±21 | 51% ±35 | 6.0d | 1.92% | 1.64% | 345 → 8 | |
| 30D POC | 2,055.19 (-10.8%) | 15 | 4.0% | 1.9d | 1.2d ago · 72× | 2% ±4 | 54% ±12 | 9% ±7 | 37% ±12 | 62 | 0% ±1 | 2% ±4 | 6% ±10 | 23% ±27 | > 7d | 2.73% | 1.43% | 381 → 9 | |
| 30D VAL | 1,978.73 (-14.2%) | 19 | 0.8% | 5h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 20% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 643 → 15 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | VAH | short | 2,304.89 | 2,055.19 | 2,370.74 | expired | -0.46% |