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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-25 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,416.4 (+4.4%) | 7.1 | 0.5% | 4h | 19.7d ago · 44× | 8% ±6 | 45% ±16 | 10% ±10 | 45% ±16 | 37 | 1% ±1 | 8% ±6 | 23% ±15 | 48% ±28 | > 7d | 1.95% | 1.61% | 520 → 12 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,396.96 (+3.5%) | 5.7 | 1.1% | 7h | 1.6d ago · 70× | 13% ±7 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 1% ±1 | 13% ±7 | 32% ±16 | 52% ±26 | 6.7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 575 → 14 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,363.36 (+2.1%) | 3.4 | 1.7% | 12h | 1.7d ago · 97× | 37% ±10 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 78 | 6% ±2 | 37% ±10 | 56% ±18 | 76% ±23 | 1.8d | 2.28% | 1.99% | 536 → 13 | |
| 7D POC · 30D POC | 2,315.04–2,318.85 (+0.0%) | 0.0 | 3.7% | 1.3d | 1.5d ago · 104× | 91% ±9 | 46% ±11 | 9% ±6 | 45% ±11 | 84 | 81% ±5 | 91% ±9 | 95% ±13 | 97% ±15 | 1h | 2.12% | 1.61% | 218 → 5 | |
| at post · 2,314.86 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 14D POC | 2,314.07 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 3.6% | 1.3d | 1.3d ago · 85× | 91% ±10 | 45% ±11 | 14% ±8 | 41% ±11 | 77 | 79% ±6 | 91% ±10 | 94% ±15 | 95% ±21 | 1h | 2.04% | 1.74% | 188 → 4 | |
| 7D VAL · 14D VAL | 2,286.44–2,291.32 (-1.0%) | 1.6 | 1.1% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 85× | 48% ±13 | 57% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±11 | 79 | 22% ±4 | 47% ±13 | 66% ±21 | 75% ±30 | 1.4d | 2.63% | 1.57% | 349 → 8 | |
| LVN zone | 2,263.48–2,279.3 (-1.5%) | 2.5 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 51% ±17 | 56% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 15% ±5 | 50% ±17 | 65% ±28 | 67% ±41 | 1.0d | 2.77% | 1.78% | 195 → 5 | |
| HVN zone | 2,210.75–2,216.02 (-4.3%) | 6.9 | 1.7% | 12h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 14% ±9 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 2% ±1 | 14% ±9 | 27% ±19 | 45% ±34 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.64% | 351 → 8 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,084.19 (-10.0%) | 16 | 1.3% | 6h | 21.3d ago · 30× | 3% ±3 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 3% ±3 | 8% ±8 | 22% ±20 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 717 → 17 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | POC | long | 2,314.86 | 2,396.96 | 2,286.44 | expired | -0.04% |