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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,416.4 (+4.4%) | 17 | 0.2% | 2h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 1% ±2 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 0% ±0 | 1% ±2 | 10% ±10 | 28% ±23 | > 7d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 626 → 15 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,396.96 (+3.6%) | 14 | 0.5% | 3h | 1.7d ago · 70× | 4% ±4 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 0% ±1 | 4% ±4 | 16% ±12 | 26% ±21 | > 7d | 2.39% | 1.29% | 657 → 16 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,343.84 (+1.3%) | 4.9 | 1.0% | 7h | 1.7d ago · 97× | 25% ±8 | 49% ±11 | 6% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 78 | 2% ±1 | 25% ±8 | 42% ±16 | 62% ±25 | 3.9d | 2.28% | 1.99% | 650 → 15 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC | 2,315.44–2,316.98 (+0.1%) | 0.2 | 1.9% | 22h | 1.5d ago · 104× | 93% ±8 | 44% ±11 | 11% ±7 | 45% ±11 | 85 | 78% ±5 | 93% ±8 | 95% ±12 | 97% ±14 | 1h | 2.11% | 1.63% | 249 → 6 | |
| at post · 2,314 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 30D POC | 2,313.57 (-0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.8% | 20h | 1.4d ago · 72× | 91% ±12 | 53% ±12 | 11% ±8 | 36% ±12 | 63 | 79% ±7 | 91% ±12 | 93% ±18 | 96% ±23 | 1h | 2.60% | 1.40% | 133 → 3 | |
| 14D VAL | 2,292.25 (-0.9%) | 3.6 | 0.5% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 59× | 25% ±10 | 47% ±14 | 6% ±6 | 47% ±14 | 50 | 5% ±2 | 25% ±10 | 47% ±19 | 63% ±29 | 3.7d | 2.51% | 1.85% | 464 → 11 | |
| 7D VAL | 2,287.05 (-1.2%) | 4.5 | 0.4% | 2h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 27% ±8 | 63% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 29% ±10 | 79 | 5% ±2 | 27% ±8 | 52% ±16 | 66% ±23 | 2.8d | 2.71% | 1.39% | 690 → 16 | |
| LVN zone | 2,263.48–2,279.3 (-1.5%) | 5.7 | 0.3% | 2h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 19% ±12 | 56% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 2% ±2 | 19% ±11 | 31% ±23 | 39% ±39 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.78% | 271 → 6 | |
| HVN zone | 2,210.75–2,216.02 (-4.2%) | 16 | 0.8% | 5h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 3% ±5 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 1% ±1 | 3% ±5 | 11% ±17 | 16% ±29 | > 7d | 1.92% | 1.64% | 259 → 6 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,089.46 (-9.7%) | 37 | 0.5% | 2h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 0% ±2 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±1 | 0% ±2 | 3% ±9 | 6% ±19 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 238 → 6 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | POC | short | 2,314 | 2,287.05 | 2,343.84 | stop | -3.28% |
| 14d | POC | short | 2,314 | 2,292.25 | 2,396.96 | expired | -3.28% |