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ETH · 1h · posted 2026-04-27 04:00 UTC
replayed from stored candles · live chart → · ◂ previous scan · next scan ▸ · discord image ↗
ETH · these odds carry no usable signal 4,427 tests, 46% held
Every settled test, counted once, scored against the odds this page showed at the time. They explain 0.2% of the variation they could (resolution 0.0006 of 0.249, 95% 0.0002 to 0.0040), and their calibration slope is 0.10 (95% -0.22 to 0.51) where 1 would mean they can be taken at face value. Against random prices at the same ATR distance, real levels held 47.1% vs 48.8%. Read a level as a place a move may pause, not as odds with an edge.
levels · as known at this post
| level | price (distance) | ATR away | volume here | time here | last tested | reach 24h | if tested | hold | chop | break | tests | back 4h | back 1d | back 3d | back 7d | median time | bounce | overshoot | scans |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30D VAH | 2,416.4 (+1.4%) | 2.4 | 0.6% | 4h | 19.8d ago · 44× | 44% ±19 | 44% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 44% ±16 | 38 | 13% ±5 | 44% ±19 | 66% ±31 | 87% ±33 | 1.3d | 1.93% | 1.57% | 156 → 4 | |
| 14D VAH | 2,382.83 (+0.0%) | 0.1 | 1.2% | 6h | 1.7d ago · 70× | 90% ±15 | 51% ±13 | 5% ±6 | 44% ±13 | 54 | 78% ±8 | 90% ±15 | 93% ±20 | 95% ±30 | 1h | 2.39% | 1.29% | 103 → 2 | |
| at post · 2,381.92 | |||||||||||||||||||
| HVN zone | 2,295.12–2,374.22 (-0.3%) | 0.5 | 1.8% | 9h | 3.0d ago · 84× | 86% ±11 | 44% ±11 | 22% ±9 | 34% ±10 | 85 | 67% ±6 | 86% ±10 | 90% ±16 | 94% ±20 | 1h | 1.92% | 1.64% | 248 → 6 | |
| 7D VAH | 2,353.8 (-1.2%) | 2.0 | 2.3% | 18h | 1.7d ago · 65× | 75% ±17 | 39% ±13 | 6% ±6 | 56% ±14 | 51 | 29% ±7 | 75% ±17 | 85% ±25 | 90% ±35 | 11h | 1.55% | 2.30% | 143 → 3 | |
| 7D POC · 14D POC · 30D POC | 2,313.57–2,315.97 (-2.8%) | 4.6 | 4.5% | 2.1d | 1.4d ago · 106× | 29% ±12 | 51% ±10 | 10% ±6 | 39% ±9 | 106 | 5% ±2 | 29% ±12 | 50% ±22 | 68% ±30 | 3.0d | 2.34% | 1.41% | 360 → 9 | |
| 14D VAL · 7D VAL | 2,289.42–2,296.02 (-3.6%) | 6.0 | 1.5% | 7h | 1.3d ago · 85× | 15% ±6 | 57% ±11 | 7% ±6 | 36% ±11 | 79 | 2% ±1 | 15% ±6 | 37% ±15 | 57% ±23 | 5.1d | 2.63% | 1.57% | 757 → 18 | |
| LVN zone | 2,263.48–2,279.3 (-4.3%) | 7.2 | 0.7% | 5h | 1.2d ago · 47× | 10% ±8 | 56% ±16 | 12% ±10 | 32% ±15 | 38 | 1% ±1 | 10% ±8 | 19% ±19 | 30% ±34 | > 7d | 2.77% | 1.78% | 308 → 7 | |
| 30D VAL | 2,110.56 (-11.4%) | 19 | 1.3% | 7h | 21.4d ago · 30× | 2% ±2 | 50% ±19 | 7% ±9 | 43% ±19 | 27 | 0% ±0 | 2% ±2 | 6% ±8 | 19% ±19 | > 7d | 3.45% | 1.55% | 654 → 16 | |
setups at this candle
| window | level | side | entry | target | stop | outcome | return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d | VAH | short | 2,381.92 | 2,314.83 | 2,398.46 | target | +3.97% |